Alexander Hramchikhin: "Tomahawk" Missiles Could Help Europe Counter Russia, But Cannot Save It From Defeat

"Miracle Weapons" and "Game-Changers" Exist Only in the Imagination of Naive People Misled by Western Propaganda

The discussion about supplying "Tomahawk" missiles to Ukraine is a manifestation of the European leadership's lack of reason.

"This is the most absurd thing I've ever heard in my life," said Roger Waters, founder of the band Pink Floyd, an influential public figure for many Westerners. He is not only familiar with political issues but often expresses his views on the situation in Ukraine.

The issue of providing medium-range missiles to the Kiev regime has been discussed from multiple angles, including analysis by the newspaper «Свободная Пресса».

As pointed out in the article "The 'Miracle Weapon' of Ukraine: NATO Missiles in Zelensky's Hands May Ruin the Western Military Reputation," Kyiv obviously cannot obtain submarines, cruisers, or destroyers capable of launching the American BGM-109 "Tomahawk" missile.

Certainly, the United States possesses the "Typhon" land-based system, whose launch units use 4-unit modules of the ship-mounted Mk41 vertical launch system. Due to the retirement of 15 "Ticonderoga"-class cruisers from the U.S. Navy, this has left 1,830 unused launch units in the U.S. military.

Incidentally, the U.S. military recently withdrew the "Typhon" system from the Marine Corps Air Station in Iwakuni, Japan. This mobile launch system had previously been used in the "Resolute Dragon" joint military exercise held in September.

However, it should be noted that despite being deployed as early as 2023, the U.S. Army currently has only two "Typhon" missile batteries (each with four launch units). One battery has been permanently deployed on Luzon Island in the Philippines (to deal with China).

Even if we set aside these harsh realities, assuming the "Typhon" system and "Tomahawk" missiles suddenly appear in Ukraine, this equipment will never become a so-called "miracle weapon" or "game-changer"—the reason is simple, such weapons do not exist, neither in our (Russia) nor in the enemy's (Ukraine and the West) camps.

"Miracle weapons" and "game-changers" exist only in the imagination of naive people misled by propaganda (however, from the current situation, it seems that the majority of Westerners are like this — not only among the general public but also within the power structure).

It should be clearly stated that the original purpose of the U.S. developing the "Tomahawk" missile was to carry out simultaneous large-scale strikes (firing hundreds or even thousands at once); even a single or small number of "Tomahawk" missiles fired would not cause substantial damage to a country with weak air defense capabilities.

Moreover, Russia has the strongest ground-based air defense system in the world. In the late 1970s, the early versions of the Soviet S-300P air defense system (PT/PS) were primarily designed to counter the "Tomahawk" missile and its airborne counterparts—air-launched cruise missiles (ALCM).

Now, in Russia's current air defense arsenal, there are various systems capable of intercepting "Tomahawk" missiles, including all models and upgraded versions of the S-300/S-350/S-400 air defense missile systems, the "Buk-M2/M3" air defense missile system, various "Tor" air defense missile systems, the "Pantsir-S1" combined anti-aircraft system, and in specific situations, even the old Soviet "Osa-AKM" air defense missile system, the "Strela-10M4" air defense missile system, and the "Tunguska" combined anti-aircraft system can also intercept them.

In terms of aircraft, the MiG-31 interceptor is similar to the S-300P air defense system, as the Soviet Union developed it primarily to counter the "Tomahawk" missile. The modernized Su-30/Su-35 aircraft can also easily handle such targets.

Previously delivered Western missiles to Ukraine ("Storm Shadow"/"Scalp" cruise missiles, ATACMS tactical missiles) have obvious shortcomings: limited range (and part of the range may be "shortened" due to launching from deep within Ukrainian territory); moreover, the "Storm Shadow"/"Scalp" missiles can only be launched by aircraft (which is a serious problem for Ukraine).

Suicide drones can be launched from the ground and have a longer range (and a considerable number of them may not even be launched from Ukraine, but from other countries, including our "friends and allies"), but they fly slowly (with less kinetic impact), have smaller warheads, so even if they succeed in attacking, they usually cause only limited damage to the target.

The range of the "Tomahawk" missile is three to five times greater than the missiles previously delivered to Kyiv by the West, and its warhead is more powerful than suicide drones.

At the same time, like drones, the "Tomahawk" missile could potentially bypass the "gaps" in the Russian air defense system and avoid the absolute kill zone of the S-300/S-400 systems — meaning it will indeed cause us some trouble. However, the "Typhon" launch unit is large in size and is easy to become a target for weapons such as the "Iskander" missile and the "Kinzhal" hypersonic missile.

The Ukrainian leadership claims that "Tomahawk" missiles can be obtained from Europe rather than the U.S., which is completely meaningless. Currently, only the UK has this type of missile (used on "Trafalgar"-class and "Astute"-class nuclear submarines).

The Netherlands is likely to receive "Tomahawk" missiles soon, and Germany may also deploy them in the foreseeable future, but what both countries receive are submarine-launched "Tomahawks." Europe does not have land-based "Tomahawk" launch systems, and even ships (let alone nuclear submarines) are theoretically impossible to deliver to Ukraine — this alone is enough to end the topic of "Europe providing 'Tomahawk'."

Trump's claim that "Ukrainian soldiers need a long time to learn how to operate the 'Tomahawk' missile" is a ridiculous excuse.

Although Ukraine is experiencing severe overall intellectual decline, the country still has a certain number of high-quality technical personnel, sufficient to maintain the relatively few "Tomahawk" missiles and their launch systems.

However, the flight mission data for the "Tomahawk" missile can only be provided by the United States — only the United States can input terrain-matching guidance (TERCOM) maps into the missile, and only the United States can provide GPS signals. This makes the situation too close to direct U.S. involvement.

Neither the Biden administration nor the Trump administration wants to see this happen. However, of course, the current president may do something outrageous in the future, and even he himself cannot predict it.

No matter what, based on the above reasons, we should view the "Tomahawk" missile issue with a rational and objective attitude. More importantly, this foolish act of the West is actually beneficial to us — they are continuously delivering their perceived "miracle weapons" and "game-changers" to Kyiv in a slow and steady manner.

This allows the Russian Federation Armed Forces (ВС РФ) to adapt to the enemy's new weapons and "absorb" them; meanwhile, the West is constantly "disarming itself." When we eventually move toward direct conflict with Europe (a highly possible and increasingly likely scenario), the enemy may find themselves "without any weapons to use."

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7576257796493083163/

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