The Canadian general election has come to a close, but the election results are worth deep reflection by all major political parties. Today, The National Post published a commentary article by columnist Tristin Hopper, pointing out that the long-regarded "vote bank" of the Liberal Party, Canadian immigrant voters, are now rapidly shifting towards the Conservative Party. This has also become one of the key factors why Prime Minister Mark Carney failed to achieve a majority government as he had hoped in this election. Image source: 51 journalist's photos. Hopper pointed out that pre-election polls have already shown that a large number of immigrants lean toward the Conservatives, and the election results also confirmed that in constituencies with high immigrant populations, compared to the 2021 election, the Conservative Party's vote share has mostly increased. An analysis released last Thursday by The Economist showed that in the Greater Toronto Area, 31 constituencies have an immigrant population exceeding 40%, and nearly all of them experienced a shift in votes toward the Conservatives. Looking at it from the opposite perspective, the constituencies where the Liberals gained new support are often areas with lower proportions of new immigrants. The fewer new immigrants there are, the more likely they are to "turn red." The Economist noted that although the 2025 election appears superficially similar to the result of the 2021 election, a voter structure reorganization similar to that in the United States has actually occurred behind the scenes: "Just like in the United States, working-class and immigrant voters are beginning to turn right." Angelo Isidorou, executive director of the BC Conservative Party, commented bluntly after the election: "To put it bluntly, Canada's immigrant community has just prevented the Liberals from winning a majority government." "These new Canadians share our values, such as hard work and the 'Canadian dream.'" This trend also appeared in last October's BC election. Although the BC Conservatives ultimately lost to the New Democratic Party (NDP), the party achieved the most significant increase in votes in suburban areas with dense immigrant populations. Pre-election polling by Mainstreet Research also showed that the BC Conservatives were clearly favored by non-white voters, including Black, East Asian, Latin American, Middle Eastern, and South Asian groups. Although the Liberals regained ground due to the collapse of NDP votes in the federal election, which somewhat masked the visibility of this phenomenon, the trend still exists: a map of 2025 election vote shifts circulating on Reddit shows that in Vancouver areas where immigrant populations are dense and non-white populations are high, there is a clear bias toward the Conservatives. Image source: Reddit. High Support Rate for the Conservatives Among Chinese Immigrants and Young People The article also specifically mentioned changes in the Chinese vote. One week before the election, an Innovative Research Group survey indicated that the support rate for the Conservatives among BC Province's Chinese was much higher than the average, and this support was almost entirely concentrated among first-generation immigrants. Among Chinese immigrants who moved to Canada after 2011, the support rate for the Conservatives reached 65%; whereas among Canadian-born Chinese, only 18% supported the Conservatives. On the other hand, Victoria, the provincial capital of BC Province, has much less ethnic diversity and proportion of new immigrants compared to the national average. In Monday's vote, it was one of the cities where the Liberals turned red the most significantly. The 2025 election also witnessed another rare phenomenon: young voters aged 34 and under also clearly shifted to the right. Post-election Nanos polling found that 41% of voters aged 34 and under voted for the Conservatives, while the Liberals received only 32%; among voters aged 55 and over, the Liberals led with 52% to 34%. This means that rarely in Canadian history has such a result occurred: 25-year-olds are more likely to vote Conservative than 65-year-olds, and immigrants are more likely to vote Conservative than native-born Canadians. Why did these two groups turn right simultaneously? A common explanation is that both groups have been hit hardest by declining living standards over the past decade, particularly in housing affordability. Rising house prices not only block young people from buying homes but also force many new immigrants to give up. In July 2024, an Angus Reid Institute poll showed that new immigrants are one of the groups most likely to feel immense pressure due to housing costs. "Many new immigrants are leaving Canada due to high living costs, especially housing issues." That same year, a Leger survey also found that 84% of new immigrants said that the actual cost of living in Canada "far exceeded their expectations." Moreover, an increasing number of new immigrants are also expressing dissatisfaction with some liberal social policies in Canada, such as harm reduction policies for drugs, the repeated bail system for repeat offenders, and "lenient integration" measures for certain immigrant groups. David Coletto, a data expert at Abacus Data, in an in-depth analysis of voting patterns in Toronto suburbs, pointed out that even against the backdrop of a national rebound in Liberal votes, the Conservatives "maintained their base and expanded further" in the Greater Toronto Area. Coletto specifically mentioned that the suburbs surrounding Toronto, home to large numbers of South Asian and Chinese residents, have a high degree of alignment with the "cultural conservatism" represented by the Conservatives. "They value family, faith, entrepreneurship, and community order," Coletto wrote. "For many voters, the Liberal Party's radical positions on gender issues, parental rights, and judicial reform seem incongruous." Do you think Chinese voters influenced the outcome of the election? Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7501132687399240226/ Disclaimer: This article solely represents the author's views. 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