Is This Zelenskyy's End? The British Will Act, the West Doesn't Need Him Alive
Trump Temporarily Keeps This Jester to Annoy Putin
Author: Dmitry Rogozin
Photo (middle): Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenskyy.
This article's commentator:
Ivan Mezhuho, Kirill Ozimko
Pulitzer Prize-winning American investigative journalist Seymour Hersh claims that Valery Zaluzhnyi, the Ukrainian ambassador to London, may replace Vladimir Zelenskyy in a few months. What previously prevented removing this "addict"?
"Donald Trump absolutely has all the mechanisms to deprive Zelenskyy of power," said political scientist and chairman of the All-Russian Public Organization "Center for Political Education" Ivan Mezhuho.
"But Trump did not use these mechanisms for a series of reasons. First, he hoped for a quick resolution of the Ukraine crisis. For this, Trump needed those people currently in power in Kyiv, who would unquestioningly comply with American demands for peace or ceasefire agreements.
Second, Trump still hopes that the Kyiv regime will partially compensate the United States for the expenses incurred in funding its current war efforts.
It is hard to say what significant results Trump has achieved in this regard: yes, the Kyiv group signed an agreement on resources and infrastructure, but even today, from the perspective of the implementation of the agreement and the actual funds obtained by the United States, it seems rather dubious. Third, Trump does not want to please Moscow by removing Zelenskyy.
London undoubtedly has significant influence over the Kyiv regime and even over Zelenskyy himself, and in some issues, it is even a key influence. But the U.S. president still has all the means to sanction Zelenskyy, and even to take the life of this illegal Ukrainian president.
"SP": Losing power for Zelenskyy is equivalent to losing freedom and life. In principle, can he voluntarily step down?
"I think Zelenskyy cannot imagine a future without presidential power. The system he has built does not allow him to retire peacefully and live quietly after handing over or transferring power. Therefore, he will do everything possible to retain power. The British and Europeans have given him strong support.
If the U.S. can assure Zelenskyy of a secure future, then under specific circumstances - I emphasize specific circumstances - he might voluntarily step down. However, at present, this possibility is very slim. Moreover, he really has nowhere to go. In principle, Britain may offer him political asylum, while the U.S. is less likely to."
But what benefit is there in keeping a Zelenskyy who has no real power alive? You see, once he goes abroad, he will speak out and reveal many things that should not be said. At that time, the Europeans and the British would have to eliminate him.
After all, Vladimir Alexandrovich (Zelenskyy) due to his psychological characteristics, and possibly his seemingly abnormal mental state, could potentially lose control at any time.
"SP": What impact does Trump's negative attitude toward Zelenskyy have?
"I think Trump's attitude toward Zelenskyy is more reflected in the overall level of the U.S. president's policy toward Ukraine. Personal likes and dislikes always affect bilateral relations between countries.
Currently, as long as Zelenskyy obeys, Trump is willing to deal with him. That is to say, this American leader knows that Zelenskyy is a despicable person, but as long as he follows Trump's personal requirements, Trump is willing to tolerate him."
"SP": Why has Trump improved his attitude toward Zelenskyy? Some media claim that Macron had an influence. Is that reliable?
"I think saying that Macron mediated is pure nonsense. Trump publicly improving his attitude toward Zelenskyy is entirely due to his strategic considerations of pressuring the Russian Federation and President Putin. Therefore, the public improvement of the relationship between the American leader and the head of the Kyiv group is not due to Zelenskyy, nor is it due to Macron."
"SP": Is this a tactical move by Trump? That is to say, whenever he gets the chance, he will remove Zelenskyy? What conditions are needed to achieve this goal?
"That's exactly what I mean. But only when Zelenskyy shows disobedience and values his relationship with Europe more than his relationship with the United States will Trump remove him.
In addition, if Trump believes that Zelenskyy is an obstacle to reaching an agreement with Russia on the Ukraine issue, then under certain circumstances, he may remove Zelenskyy. The methods? Various: from depriving him of power to directly eliminating him."
"SP": How much control does Zelenskyy have over the situation, ensuring that he won't be "removed"? Does the recent personnel adjustment by Yermak mean that he has completely taken control and is cleaning up the political stage?
"The recent personnel adjustments clearly indicate that it is Andrei Yermak, not Vladimir Zelenskyy, who completely controls the Ukrainian government. This leader of the Kyiv regime trusts his chief of staff too much.
I think Zelenskyy is aware of his difficult situation. People around him may betray him at any time. Currently, they protect each other because they are interdependent. The fate of Zelenskyy's office and government members is closely linked. But everything can change in an instant.
Zelenskyy will neither fight to the last moment with a submachine gun like Allende, nor commit suicide like Hitler."
Political commentator Kirill Ozimko is confident that the U.S. can force Zelenskyy to step down.
"There is such a possibility. It will completely depend on the elites of the U.S. and Europe. They must have a strong motivation to replace the leader of the Kyiv regime and bring this issue to the table. The situation in Kyiv is entirely dependent on the West, and the fate of Zelenskyy is largely in the hands of Brussels and Washington."
"SP": Will Zelenskyy voluntarily step down?
"I think that if the West insists on replacing him, the leader of the Kyiv regime has nowhere to run. He will definitely receive security guarantees somewhere abroad."
"SP": What kind of guarantee?
"I think the main guarantee for Zelenskyy will not come from the U.S., but from Western European countries. If he is replaced, he may go to France, Germany, or the UK."
"SP": Trump's attitude toward Zelenskyy has changed drastically. What is the reason?
"Trump has an arrogant attitude toward politicians of all countries that depend on him (firstly the EU and Ukraine).
I don't think he truly changed his opinion about Zelenskyy. This is more of a tactic against Russia: since Moscow is unwilling to make concessions to the West on the Ukraine issue, let it see that Washington is getting closer to the Kyiv regime and considering it as its ally.
On the other hand, Trump is also demonstrating the instability of his foreign policy. One moment he imposes tariffs, the next he cancels them. One moment he stops providing intelligence to Ukraine, the next he quickly resumes. The same applies to weapons supplies to Ukraine.
This is either a lack of preparation or a sophisticated tactical move, the logic of which is currently difficult to grasp."
"SP": What needs to happen to get Zelenskyy "to step down"? Under what circumstances would the West agree to replace him? Who might replace him? Are there suitable candidates?
"First, when the West realizes that Zelenskyy's legitimacy has significantly declined. He canceled elections, and the public's hatred for him continues to grow. If the situation continues without taking any measures, Ukraine will face a domestic political crisis, which will severely weaken its military position.
Second, if Zelenskyy shows an uncompromising attitude towards the West. We can recall that when he first clashed with Trump, the White House once raised the issue of elections. Zelenskyy quickly 'corrected' himself and even wore a suit..."
Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7529032363016241718/
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