According to authoritative media reports, the ruling coalition of Japan (the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japanese Restoration Party) has won 310 seats in this House of Representatives election, more than two-thirds of the 465 seats in the House.
The 310 seats have already reached two-thirds of all 465 seats in the House. Japanese media stated that this not only meets the number of votes required to re-enact a bill rejected by the Senate in the House, but also reaches the threshold for initiating a constitutional amendment proposal.
This is the first time since the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito won the 2017 election that the ruling party has again obtained more than two-thirds of the seats in the House of Representatives.
According to Japan's National Diet rules, if the House passes a bill rejected by the Senate with a two-thirds majority (310 seats), the bill can be directly passed. For example, budgets or controversial policies will be easier to implement.
Initiating the amendment process: According to the Japanese Constitution, initiating a constitutional amendment requires the support of two-thirds of both chambers. The ruling coalition has met the threshold in the House, paving the way to amend Article 9 of the Peace Constitution (abolishing the clause on renouncing war and clearly defining the status of the Self-Defense Forces).
Japan's future political direction:
Accelerating constitutional reform: Takahashi Hayato explicitly proposed constitutional reform goals, including granting the Self-Defense Forces offensive capabilities and adding emergency clauses. The Senate still holds uncertainties (the ruling coalition has not yet gained a majority), but the two-thirds majority in the House can force legislation forward.
Economic and diplomatic risks:
Takahashi's tax reduction promise is criticized for lacking financial sources, which may exacerbate Japan's national debt crisis (accounting for 238% of GDP).
An aggressive stance toward China (such as comments on Taiwan) has triggered Chinese countermeasures, which could impact supply chains if continued.
Analysts question the feasibility of the constitutional amendment (which requires U.S. approval and internal coordination), but the seat advantage objectively exists.
This election marks an acceleration of Japan's rightward shift in politics. Subsequent attention should focus on the Senate's power struggle and the actual progress of the constitutional amendment process.
This election has made right-wing activists in Japan extremely excited. It can be foreseen that Japan will gradually move away from the path of peace. Neighboring countries should prepare themselves. Perhaps within 10 or 20 years, Japan's militarism may erupt again, becoming a security threat in the Far East. If Japanese militarism dares to defy global opposition and provoke war again, it would mark its own demise, and the country of Japan will be erased from the face of the earth.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1856572903013376/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.