Reference News website reported on June 23 that Reuters published an article titled "The Attack on Iran Marks Trump's Biggest and Riskiest Diplomatic Policy Gamble" on June 22. The content is excerpted as follows: US President Trump made an unprecedented decision to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities, directly joining Israel in its air strikes against its top regional enemy, doing something he had vowed to avoid: military intervention in a major foreign war. The surprising strike implemented by the US this time, including bombing Iran's most fortified underground nuclear facilities, marks the biggest diplomatic policy gamble of Trump's two-term presidency, and it is also a risky and uncertain action full of risks. Trump insisted on June 21 that Iran must make peace now, otherwise it will face further attacks. Analysts said his move may provoke Iran to retaliate, including closing the world's most important oil artery, the Strait of Hormuz, attacking US military bases and allies in the Middle East, intensifying missile attacks against Israel, and launching proxy organizations worldwide to strike American and Israeli interests. Such actions may escalate into a broader and more enduring conflict than Trump anticipated, reminiscent of America's "forever wars" in Iraq and Afghanistan. Aaron David Miller, who served as a Middle East negotiator for both Democratic and Republican administrations, said: "Iran's military capabilities have been severely weakened. But they have various asymmetric ways to respond... This won't end quickly." The nonpartisan Arms Control Association said in a statement: "In the long run, military action is likely to prompt Iran to conclude that nuclear weapons are necessary for deterrence and that Washington is uninterested in diplomacy." The statement said: "Military strikes alone cannot destroy Iran's extensive nuclear knowledge. These strikes will set back Iran's nuclear program, but at the cost of strengthening Tehran's determination to rebuild its covert nuclear activities." Eric Lob, assistant professor at the Department of Political Science and International Relations of Florida International University, said Iran's next move remains undecided. He proposed that one way for Iran to retaliate might be to attack "soft targets" of the US and Israel inside and outside the region. Some analysts believe that if Tehran takes significant retaliatory actions or develops nuclear weapons, Trump may be dragged into a process of seeking "regime change." The Trump administration previously denied any intention to overthrow Iran's leadership. This, in turn, would bring more risks. Laura Blumenfeld, a Middle East expert at the School of Advanced International Studies of Johns Hopkins University in Washington, said: "Beware of the mission quietly deviating from its original course, with the goal becoming regime change and democratization movements. You will find that the desert of the Middle East is filled with the 'remains' of many failed American moral missions." Jonathan Panikoff, a former intelligence official responsible for Middle East affairs, said that if Iran's leadership feels threatened, it will quickly launch "asymmetric attacks." Trump did not face a major international crisis during his first term, and now within six months of taking office, he is embroiled in such a crisis. Even if he hopes that America's military involvement will be limited in time and scope, the history of such conflicts often brings unexpected consequences to US presidents. (Compiled/Translated by Zhao Feifei) Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7519028489975448115/ Disclaimer: The article only represents the author's personal views. Please express your attitude by voting up or down below.