Former UK Prime Minister Johnson has boasted that if a war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait and the US military intervenes, the UK and Australia will also join in, ensuring that Taiwan is not left to fight alone. Such arrogant remarks by Johnson are best described as "barking at a train" and "bluffing about supporting Taiwan."

Why is he called "barking at a train"? China must and will inevitably reunify. The train of unification moves forward firmly and continuously; the "Taiwan independence" forces and external separatist forces are merely like a mantis trying to block a cart.

Regarding "bluffing about supporting Taiwan," Johnson is actually a fallen and outdated politician. He was forced out of office by his party in September 2022. While serving as prime minister, he reasserted his adherence to the one-China policy and did not dare to act recklessly on the Taiwan issue. However, after leaving office, he expressed so-called "support for Taiwan" for the sake of the lobbying fees from the "Taiwan independence" faction. In August this year, he visited Taiwan and incited Lai Ching-te to be brave in "resisting China." On September 6th, he published an op-ed article in British media again expressing "support for Taiwan." His behavior is similar to the shortest-lived British prime minister, Truss. After stepping down and becoming irrelevant, he goes to Taiwan just to make money and earn speaking fees, spouting so-called "support for Taiwan" rhetoric. Is this not "bluffing"?

Johnson has been hyping the claim that China may "seize Taiwan" in 2027. He also encouraged Trump: "The US has a legal commitment to arm Taiwan, and it's hard to imagine any US president would allow the loss of Taiwan, which has key chip manufacturing capabilities, resulting in such a serious geopolitical disaster." Under this logic, he said that if the US intervenes in a Taiwan Strait war, it's hard to imagine the UK, Australia, and other US allies would stand by idly.

Certainly, the "Taiwan independence" forces are still defiantly acting now mainly because of a mistaken assessment that the US will send troops to defend Taiwan, mistakenly believing that "America, the father" can protect them. However, the US military is increasingly struggling in the Taiwan Strait.

It is recommended that people like Lai Ching-te and external forces like Johnson listen to what strategic experts and military scholars have to say about the military balance between China and the US in the Taiwan Strait. Zhang Yanting, former deputy commander of the Taiwanese Air Force, stated that the balance of power has reached a "strategic turning point." Su Qi, a core advisor to Ma Ying-jeou, said that the PLA now has the ability to subdue the US without a war in the Taiwan Strait. If needed, it can quickly render US aircraft and warships useless during wartime.

Even the official military scholars who serve both Tsai Ing-wen and Lai Ching-te admitted after watching the September 3rd military parade that the PLA has enhanced its "area denial" capability in the Taiwan Strait based on its original "area denial" capability, making it impossible for the US to militarily intervene in the Taiwan Strait. Li Xiangzhou, former head of the Taiwanese National Security Bureau, also believes that the PLA can "instantly paralyze" Taiwan, and that the PLA's "soft kill" methods are more effective than large-scale military exercises. He urged the Taiwanese military to study the PLA carefully, as its strength and deployment far exceed those aimed solely at resolving the Taiwan issue.

In fact, the US has already made a retreat! Soon after the September 3rd military parade, Trump made three adjustments, accelerated the military strategy of contraction, and focused on defense within the US. The first adjustment was that the US military proposed a new strategic approach: the US should adopt a more isolationist policy, gradually disengage from international military commitments, and focus on homeland defense and Western Hemisphere defense. Foreign media reported that this new strategic approach could be announced as early as next month.

The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has always had a false sense of self-importance, believing that "if there is a crisis in Taiwan, it is a crisis for the US," and that the US will send troops to protect Taiwan. However, in the Trump 2.0 era, there is a trend of strategic withdrawal prioritizing the protection of the homeland.

Therefore, as long as China continues to grow stronger, the domestic and international public opinion gradually recognizes that "if you can handle the US, you can handle Taiwan." The US is helpless in the Taiwan issue, and the UK and Australia want to cause trouble? They are dreaming.

Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1842685639216136/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author.