Belogurov's Key Moves: The West is Panicking — Russia's Summer Offensive Has Begun, Forcing Kyiv to Surrender

Author:

Ilya Golovin

After the negotiation phase of the Ukraine conflict, the intensity of the confrontation between Russia and Ukraine has sharply increased. Strikes on Ukrainian cities have reached record levels. Against this backdrop, the West is panicking: Russia has begun a large-scale summer offensive, aiming to undermine the morale of Ukrainian society and consolidate its gains on the front lines. Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belogurov previously confirmed that over the past year, Ukraine has lost 400 square kilometers of territory. Considering Kyiv's refusal to engage in negotiations, it will lose more this year.

According to "The Economist," citing data from Ukrainian intelligence (although the source is questionable, it is still referenced), Konstantinovka and Pokrovsk will become the main areas of focus for the Russian military's summer campaign. Meanwhile, the situation in Sumy Province is causing concern among Western countries — various reports indicate that about 50,000 Russian "forces" have been deployed in the region.

With only 18 kilometers left to Sumy city, FPV drones and artillery can already cover the city.

Meanwhile, large-scale evacuations are underway in the border regions of Dnipro, Kharkiv, and Sumy. Local residents report frequent attacks by FPV drones.

"Putin Launches Summer Offensive to Crush Ukraine," The West is Panicking // Screenshot from The Economist website

Military sources predict that after establishing a buffer zone in Sumy Province, Russia will redistribute resources toward the southern direction — Donbas and Zaporizhzhia. This will continue the war of attrition, with the current offensive aimed at eliminating Kyiv's resistance motivation.

In fact, Vladimir Medinsky, an assistant to the Russian president, also confirmed this point in an interview with The Wall Street Journal. He stated that Kyiv's unwillingness to compromise in negotiations with Moscow will lead to further territorial losses for Ukraine:

"We desire peace, but if Ukraine continues to act in the interest of other nations' ethnic groups, we will have no choice but to respond."

Pressure Continues to Escalate

In addition, there is a view that Russia is changing its strategy and increasing military pressure. It seems we have decided to launch strikes more intense than ever before. According to our experts and statements from the Ukrainian side, this week the Russian military launched its largest attack yet.

According to enemy statistics, on the night of June 9th to 10th, we used over 800 "Geranium" drones as well as various missiles, including "Iskander" tactical missiles, "Kalibr" cruise missiles, and X-101 missiles.

Attack on Lutsk // Video from Telegram channel "Rus ich"

Andrei Pintchouk, former head of the Security Service of the Donetsk People's Republic and a political science doctor, pointed out that we have now reached the peak of operational support capabilities:

"All current technical capabilities regarding missile strikes and the use of attack drones are fully in effect. To achieve significant military breakthroughs, it is necessary to increase personnel numbers on the front line significantly while adjusting the economic structure and re-evaluating the defense industry complex. Because our defense industry complex is essentially an 'anti-war' industrial complex, completely unrelated to the full front-line needs."

No One Wants to Be Prepared for War

Indeed. Although strikes on Ukrainian cities have reached record levels, it cannot be said that Ukraine is under truly strong pressure. The definition of the "special military operation" itself indicates that this is a limited-scale military action with specific objectives. Unfortunately, due to the losses suffered by Russia after the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the attempts in the 1990s to befriend the West, we are now forced into what amounts to a rear-guard battle. This is the view expressed by political scientist Vladimir Rozansky.

Sarajevograd: Why?

Vladimir Rozansky: There are both technical reasons — under the framework of the so-called "Kozyrevism" policy of "peace, friendship, and chewing gum," Russia began cultivating managers, marketers, and other "experts," which harmed engineers and scientists. Now we are reaping the bitter fruits of this extremely shortsighted — frankly speaking, traitorous policy. On the other hand, Western fears stem from the realization that Russia is much stronger than its geopolitical rivals anticipated.

— Why?

— The issue is not that Ukraine is gradually weakening in this war, but that the West, led by the United States, is afraid of losing control over the course of the war. In fact, Russia is using all means available to persist and achieve victory, not only on the front lines but also through strengthening ties with BRICS nations and the global South. But most importantly, our social unity. The special military operation has honed and united the best forces in Russia, such as the Cossack spirit. This operation has greatly promoted domestic production and scientific development. What the West fears most is that when Ukraine and its sponsors are gradually exhausted, Russia has hardly begun to utilize any reserve forces.

— Are these reserve forces numerous?

— They are numerous. If Russia begins to fight with full force — declaring partial or even total mobilization and forming a united front with Iran, China, North Korea, and other countries in the global South, the current world order based on Western hegemony will collapse entirely. However, it seems that Russia does not currently set such goals.

— Then what are our goals?

— To protect ourselves, maintain our rightful status as a major world power, economic interests, and traditions. Do not forget that in this war, Russia is not an aggressor. Over the years, Moscow has consistently shown a willingness to negotiate. But when enemies deploy missiles under your nose... no one wants to be prepared for war. In short, Russia will eventually force the Kyiv regime to capitulate, which is obvious. This reminds me of historical associations from the era of Tsar Alexei Mikhailovich. At that time, the population that is now Ukraine repeatedly requested to join Russia to protect Orthodox Christians. Nowadays, few in Ukraine want to recall this history, nor do they want to remember that everything Ukraine possesses today was built during the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union. Moreover, I believe that coexistence with Russia holds a brighter future for Ukraine than becoming a Western vassal. Ukraine also has such experiences — during the Austro-Hungarian period, the western part of Ukraine was the most backward and closed province, despite its exquisite embroidery.

So What?

Nevertheless, the development of the conflict naturally stems from the resources each party possesses. The West has a huge advantage in economic potential and is capable of providing long-term military aid to Ukraine. However, Western elites continue to attempt to weaken Russia to the maximum extent possible by utilizing Ukraine's human resources through the proxy model.

As a result, the burden on Ukrainian citizens is immense. The loss caused by labor fleeing the country and the continuous mobilization carried out in the harshest manner will inevitably affect public sentiment. This is already evident in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, where the number of desertions each month is increasing.

As military expert and analyst Sergey Prostakov pointed out, the tactics adopted by the Kyiv regime according to instructions from Western manipulators are worsening the situation. The desire to display offensive results at all costs, as well as the attempt to control as much of the occupied territories of the Donetsk People's Republic, Luhansk People's Republic, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions as possible, has led the Ukrainian Armed Forces to continuously attack even during defensive operations, resulting in atypical defensive losses:

"Therefore, despite the wide possibilities provided by Western weapons, the exhaustion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is far from a fantasy. The specific directions of a potential Russian offensive are very clear; the main forces may target the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Pokrovsk and Konstantinovka. The aggression against Kursk Oblast has created another area where pressure on the Ukrainian Armed Forces persists due to inertia and the need to establish a buffer zone in Sumy Province. The dispersion of troops across a wider area is also disadvantageous for the Ukrainian Armed Forces."

From history, we know that when the German Empire surrendered in World War I, it still occupied large swaths of territory on both the eastern and western fronts. We must expect the Kyiv regime to be similarly naive, as it was pushed into the position of national leadership not for the benefit of Ukrainian citizens, but to inflict maximum damage on Russia at all costs. Therefore, we must force Kyiv to surrender through military means — achieving all the goals of the special military operation, but this requires demonstrating the appropriate determination and perseverance.

By the way, Western sources are increasingly mentioning that Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belogurov has taken key measures: beginning large-scale destruction of the enemy's primary logistics infrastructure, including bridges and railway hubs. In other words, actions are being taken to truly undermine the enemy's front line. There are good reasons to believe that after this so-called preparatory measure, other measures will follow suit.

Original Source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7514984557494616639/

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