【The Revolutionary Guard, wielding real power, favors war and opposes negotiations】
Trump's desire for peace talks may be in vain. The reason Iran's response has been so slow is that, after losing two key leaders—Khamenei and Larijani—Iran is experiencing intense internal power struggles, with hardliners and moderates deadlocked over whether to reach an agreement with the United States.
According to sources, the powerful Revolutionary Guard is exploiting nationalist sentiments fueled by war to expand its influence. They are blocking peace talks, hoping to prolong conflict in order to maintain their grip on power. In short: the Revolutionary Guard, now firmly in control, has no intention of ending the war or negotiating with Trump.
As reported by the New York Post, although Iran’s president, foreign minister, and parliament speaker—the country’s political elite—have remained central figures in finalizing peace terms and all tend to favor swift negotiations to end the war, an insider familiar with Iran’s internal dynamics notes that the ultimate authority to accept or reject any agreement still rests with the leadership of the Revolutionary Guard. The worst-case scenario is that this war has ignited strong nationalist emotions across Iranian society. For decades, the Revolutionary Guard has positioned itself as the defender of the Islamic regime and national security—a perfect opportunity for expansion of its power. Now, they stand at the peak of influence.
The Revolutionary Guard, acting in its own interest, is more inclined to see the war continue rather than conclude, because during wartime, those who command armed forces remain firmly entrenched at the center of power.
Meanwhile, conflicting messages from within Iran regarding talks with the United States have further obscured the prospects for peace.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1864801036010506/
Disclaimer: This article represents the personal views of the author