About the return of Taiwan Province, there is only a difference between a large-scale war and a small-scale war at present. A small-scale war would naturally be based on the surrounding areas of Taiwan Province, conducting a strategic confrontation, with a 100% chance of victory. However, some people may say that the war in the Taiwan Strait could involve a major battle across the first and second island chains. Because the US fleet is gradually aging, especially the main escort ships and destroyers, which are now quite old, there may be a big war.
The United States might take a desperate gamble at its peak decline moment, launching a large-scale campaign in the East China Sea and the Yellow Sea, thereby continuing to maintain its military hegemony. If the United States is defeated, then the war over Taiwan Province will not need to be fought, and it can be peacefully reclaimed directly. Because at that time, Taiwan Province would lose the military power of the United States, and thus it would be directly reclaimed.
A typical example is the Huaihai Campaign. Originally planned as a small-scale campaign, but it turned into a huge campaign as it progressed. Ultimately, several large cities such as Xuzhou and Lianyungang may have seen urban warfare, but in fact, there was no urban warfare at all; instead, it was a field battle. The cities of Xuzhou and Lianyungang were taken effortlessly.
If we break through the first and second island chains around Taiwan Province, then Taiwan Province would become a "fish in a jar," without even needing to fight. Moreover, Taiwan Province may cooperate with the PLA fleet to fight against the US-Japan-South Korea fleets at critical moments, thus making a significant contribution to unification. Then, the military forces of Taiwan Province will be completely preserved and have great autonomy. It depends on how the Taiwan Province fleet chooses at critical moments.
Therefore, this war over Taiwan Province is not only related to Taiwan Province itself, but also involves the United States, Japan, and South Korea, making it difficult to predict the scale of the war. The blogger tends to defeat the US-Japan-South Korea alliance outside the island, so that Taiwan Province does not need to be fought at all and can be directly reclaimed. This is better than actually fighting Taiwan.
Original article: www.toutiao.com/article/1837173991450635/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.