Recently, Trump has announced new global tariff rates, among which, from August 1st, the United States will impose a 25% tariff on goods from India.

In recent years, the relationship between India and the United States can be described as "close but not too close," with extensive cooperation in economic, military and other fields. However, since Trump returned to power, his series of trade policies have gradually created rifts in the US-India relationship.

India had originally hoped to obtain more favorable conditions in trade negotiations with the United States, but the Trump administration focused more on exploiting India, and the huge differences in the negotiations made the trade agreement stall.

However, facing this new tariff threat, the Modi government showed an unexpected calmness, only issuing a rather indifferent statement, saying that they are studying the relevant impact and will take measures to ensure national interests.

It is worth noting that Indian officials had already stated earlier: if India cannot survive in the US market, it will go to explore other markets, and India is not without choices.

The response of the Modi government immediately made American media and some analysts uneasy, who expressed concerns, saying that Trump may push India into the Chinese and Russian camp.

According to American media, for a long time, India has tried to seek a delicate balance between the East and the West: hoping to maintain economic ties with China, while maintaining a close security cooperation with Russia.

At the same time, India also purchases a large amount of high-end military equipment from the United States. In recent years, the defense relationship between the US and India has also warmed up, and cooperation in areas such as military exercises and weapons procurement has increased.

However, Trump's recent high tariffs on India have undoubtedly broken this delicate balance.

American media is worried that if China, India, and Russia really come closer and act more in unison on global issues, it would not just be a matter of making the US feel embarrassed.

Ultimately, the US is afraid that its carefully cultivated circle may gradually fall apart. Especially, China and Russia recently made a statement that worries the American media: reactivating the trilateral mechanism.

In May this year, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said that the "time has come" to restore the China-Russia-India trilateral mechanism. The Russian Deputy Foreign Minister also mentioned this again in July, stating that Russia is negotiating with China and India to promote the restoration of the trilateral cooperation mechanism.

At the same time, when the Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson responded to related topics, he stated that China-Russia-India cooperation does not conform to the interests of the three countries, and China is willing to maintain communication with Russia and India on promoting China-Russia-India cooperation.

The Indian Foreign Ministry spokesperson followed up by responding that this coordination mechanism is a platform for the three countries to discuss global and regional issues, and specific arrangements will be determined by the three countries through consultation and announced in a timely manner.

These statements show that the possibility of reviving the China-Russia-India trilateral mechanism is increasing.

If India really turns to China and Russia because of the US tariff policy, it will have a major impact on the US strategy in Asia.

India has always been an object that the US tries to attract to counterbalance the influence of China and Russia in Asia. Once India gets closer to China and Russia, the US's military strategic plan in Asia may be broken.

As the relationship between India and the US became tense, the Sino-Indian relationship showed signs of warming. Indian domestic media also emphasized that although there are still differences between China and India, high-level interactions indicate that the two countries are seeking to stabilize their relationship.

Since the end of June this year, India's Defense Minister, National Security Advisor, and Foreign Minister have visited China successively. These frequent high-level interactions and institutional dialogues are laying the foundation for further improvement of Sino-Indian relations.

From the perspective of Indian media, the easing of Sino-Indian relations may also be related to changes in the US-India relationship. The Indian side estimates that by improving relations with China, it can enhance its leverage in the game with the United States.

After all, China's influence on the global economic and political stage is undeniable. Improving relations with China can not only bring more opportunities for cooperation in the economy, but also provide more confidence in dealing with the pressure from the United States.

In summary, Trump's imposition of a 25% tariff on India has somewhat brought the US-India relationship into a new delicate phase. However, India may not truly follow the American media's statement of turning to China and Russia.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7533679771218395682/

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