As campaign teams shift into high gear for the midterm elections, a series of unexpected independent poll results has drawn national attention to several candidates who were previously considered underdogs. However, recent major missteps have led people to question the credibility of these results. According to independent polls conducted this year—those not coordinated with campaign teams—Democratic Senate candidates are leading in deeply red Texas, a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988; they are also ahead in Alaska and Iowa, both states that have not elected a Democratic senator since 2008. Polls also show former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown leading Republican Senator Jon Tester in Ohio, a state that Trump won by more than 11 points in 2024. In deeply red Arkansas, where Trump previously won by over 30 points, an independent poll indicates that Democratic Senate candidate Harley Shofner is nearly tied with Republican Senator Tom Cotton. In New Hampshire, progressive newcomer Karishma Manzoor will face a test of whether the late momentum shown in recent University of New Hampshire polling can mount a surprising challenge against Representative Chris Pappas in the state’s Democratic Senate primary. Democrats are seizing this opportunity to expand their campaign footprint and channel resources into several red states, where polling now offers hope of defying historical trends.
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Original article: toutiao.com/article/1875834116280393/
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