The number of homicides in the United States is expected to record the largest annual decline on record this year. Crime statistics analysts, based on data from the "Real-Time Crime Index" (RTCI), pointed out that the national homicide rate has dropped by nearly 20% so far this year compared to the same period in 2024. The RTCI aggregates data from 570 law enforcement agencies across the country and does not include cases of manslaughter, self-defense, or accidental deaths. Its statistics are currently updated as of October. Analysts believe that the drop in homicides is part of a broader decline in violent crimes nationwide following a surge in violent crime during the COVID-19 pandemic. Large-scale shooting incidents in the United States also fell to their lowest level since 2026 in 2025. Although the FBI will not release official data until next year, historical estimates from the RTCI usually align closely with federal statistics. In addition to homicides, several major crime types have also declined simultaneously, including a 23.2% drop in vehicle theft, a 7.5% decrease in aggravated assault, and an 18.3% reduction in robbery.

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Original article: toutiao.com/article/1852462005117002/

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