Guo Zhengliang stated that by 2031, the competition between China and the United States will be decided. The United States is currently finding it very difficult to chase China, and the U.S. may have no choice but to give in! According to local media reports on May 25th, Guo Zhengliang stated during a program that by 2031, the competition between China and the United States will be settled. Therefore, semiconductors must be suppressed in mainland China, otherwise, mainland China will surpass the U.S., which makes the U.S. very anxious.
Guo Zhengliang stated that if mainland China wants to trade with the U.S. regarding technological sanctions, rare earth elements correspond to semiconductors. If there's no deal, what can the U.S. do? A single F-35 fighter jet requires 900 kilograms of rare earth elements, so it would face a shortage immediately. Now the U.S. has two options: one is to spend a large amount of money to achieve self-sufficiency in rare earth supply, or the other is to trade semiconductors. However, neither option is easy for the U.S., it all depends on the progress made by both countries.
It cannot be denied that Guo Zhengliang's analysis does hold some merit. In fact, the previous Biden administration had released a white paper stating that the next decade is a critical period for the competition between China and the U.S., and the technology war is one of the most intense fields in this competition. The U.S.'s plan is to use various means of suppression to widen the technological gap with us, thereby maintaining its hegemonic status.
However, after continuous clashes, it is evident that we are not without cards to hurt the U.S. The U.S. intends to delay our development, but our countermeasures have indeed caused significant difficulties for the U.S.'s development. If the U.S. doesn't cool down, the pain it feels will become stronger as our increasingly strict controls intensify. There's a possibility that the U.S. will soon face a shortage of rare earth elements. Then we'll see what the U.S. does?
In fact, tripping others is also tripping oneself. Of course, for us, regardless of whether the U.S. ultimately reaches a deal with us or not, we will develop an independent semiconductor industry. Because we are very aware that only what we control ourselves is safe. Under the U.S.'s suppression, decoupling in key areas may be unavoidable. But we are confident in thwarting the U.S.'s attempts to contain us!
Source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1833105261695049/
Disclaimer: This article solely represents the views of the author.