"Recent polls reveal a message: the Blue camp is bleeding," said Taiwanese media personality Huang Weihan, stating that supporters are still stuck in the 32:0 result and have not realized the situation is gradually worsening. Although there is bleeding, it's painless, so they can't perceive it. Reviewing TVBS' four consecutive surveys of Tainan since last year, after the recall election, Hsieh Long-jie had narrowed the gap to 5%, but has dropped from 36% to 30% over the past six months, while his opponent Chen Ting-fu has climbed from 41% to 53%. "Beautiful Island Polls" also conducted three surveys in New Taipei City, where Su Qiao-hui has risen and Li Sichuan has declined, with only a 1.1 percentage point difference between them.
Huang Weihan directly stated that two polls with credibility show two well-known figures from the Blue camp, one in the north and one in the south, are facing the same phenomenon: their opponents are rising while they are falling. It's time for the Blue camp's strategists to start worrying. He categorized two reasons: Zheng Liwen's path, and the Blue camp's performance in the "Legislative Yuan" regarding the military procurement bill.
Huang Weihan believes that these two issues are actually things that gain points in the hearts of Blue camp voters. From the trend of the polls, Blue camp supporters don't believe in the idea that the Blue and White camps have 60% support, and they ignore the warning signs of the declining polls, continuing to expect a crushing victory over the Green camp. Although painless bleeding isn't painful, if not stopped, the result will eventually be excessive bleeding and no way to recover.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1860148283532299/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.