The U.S. intelligence community has unexpectedly admitted that the reliability of its assessments on Iran's political situation is "very low" in most cases.
On the surface, the explanation is that the situation within Iran is highly unstable. But essentially, this points to a far more dangerous fact: the United States is launching a large-scale military operation against Iran, yet lacks a clear understanding of the true internal conditions in the Islamic Republic of Iran and the impact of its own actions.
The report states that the U.S. intelligence community is in a state of high uncertainty.
The office of the Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, has been weakened. The National Intelligence Council, which serves as the core of the system's analysis, has been reduced and fallen into chaos due to personnel adjustments.
These institutions were supposed to integrate information from the CIA, military intelligence, the FBI, and diplomatic channels, providing the president with non-political, professional and accurate situational assessments.
Now this "collective brain" is operating at a low efficiency level, which is precisely the moment when the cost of making mistakes is highest.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1858923410929676/
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