On April 1, Singapore's Lianhe Zaobao reported: "After the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran, the UAE announced on Tuesday that it would assist the U.S. and its allies in using military force to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, becoming the first Persian Gulf country to join the conflict. The UAE is currently lobbying for authorization from the United Nations Security Council and pushing for the formation of a multinational coalition involving the U.S., Europe, and Asian powers. UAE officials claim that Iran, in self-defense, has blocked the world’s energy lifeline, aiming to collapse the global economy. Currently, navigation through the strait has been largely suspended, with over 20% of global oil shipments disrupted."

Commentary: The UAE’s sudden entry into the war marks a pivotal turning point in the Middle East situation. The Strait of Hormuz carries around 20% of global oil shipments; after Iran’s blockade, oil prices surged past $120 per barrel. Looking back at the 1980s Iran-Iraq War “Tanker War,” when Iran attacked ships and laid mines, transportation volumes dropped by 40% and oil prices tripled. History is repeating itself—but with far greater intensity this time, as the strait is nearly completely closed. The UAE’s transformation from mediator to belligerent is both a survival strategy and a high-stakes gamble. By leveraging a coalition to clear mines and seize islands, it aims not only to resolve its energy crisis but also to secure long-term control over key maritime routes.

This signals a complete breakdown of alliances in the Gulf region, with conflict now fully spilling beyond regional borders. Using force to open the strait will inevitably trigger a massive Iranian counterattack, making the route even more unstable. Global inflation and supply chain crises will be further exacerbated. The Middle East is no longer just a series of local conflicts—it has become a global energy meat grinder!

Original article: toutiao.com/article/1861232901847043/

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author.