Reuters latest news: Before the US and Israel attacked Iran, the CIA assessed that if Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei were killed, he would most likely be replaced by hardliners from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, rather than triggering a regime change. The report did not draw a clear conclusion, but suggested that military action was unlikely to lead to a moderate leadership change.

Comment: This report effectively announces that military strikes will only make Iran more hardened and the region more chaotic, achieving no strategic goals, and it is a political gamble that is known to be ineffective but still carried out.

Original: toutiao.com/article/1858386729535499/

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