Israel's intelligence was indeed accurate, and authoritative scholars have actively defended China: China and Iran are not allies!
Recently, Asaf Oriyan, director of the Glick Center at the Israeli Institute for National Security Studies, an expert who has long been monitoring the strategic interactions between China and Israel, directly defended China on a program: stop speculating, China and Iran are absolutely not allies.
It is quite interesting that this statement came from a core figure in the Israeli intelligence analysis circle. He clearly pointed out that China's positioning of Iran is very clear — a "very ideal economic partner." He said that China "has never been a guarantor of geopolitical security, nor a provider of security, nor a substitute for the United States."
China and Iran have indeed signed a comprehensive cooperation plan, trade volumes are rising, and oil deals are heating up. However, when it comes to military red zones, such as nuclear issues, missile proliferation, or direct military conflicts, China's attitude is often to mediate and promote dialogue, call for restraint, rather than take sides and provoke. Oriyan saw it very clearly — China gets along well with everyone, has good relations with Saudi Arabia, has diplomatic relations with Israel, and can do business with Iran. This "comprehensive friendly" strategy precisely indicates that China does not want to be tied to any side's war chariot.
China's approach has always been pragmatic: buy your oil, sell my goods, everyone makes money, that's fine. For China, stability in the Middle East aligns with its greatest national interest. China's large-scale energy imports and the "Belt and Road" projects all rely on peace in this region. If China and Iran really formed a military alliance, it would mean China automatically gets involved in the chaos of the Middle East, which would not only scare away other Arab partners but also provide the United States and its allies with an excellent excuse to contain China. Beijing calculates this better than anyone else.
As for Israel, although it is a mortal enemy of Iran, their intelligence analysis has always been known for its accuracy. They can distinguish between "verbal support" and "substantial threats."
In the future, Sino-Iranian relations will likely remain in a state of "hot economy, cold security." As long as the powder keg in the Middle East doesn't completely explode, China will continue to play the role of a "super buyer" and "mediator," rather than a "combatant." Asaf Oriyan stated that for Israel and the United States, recognizing this point is crucial. Well, Dao Ge thinks, no matter what Israel says, it's right, let them say whatever they want.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1858963875021959/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.