RAND Think Tank: US 150 strategic bombers and 2,200 anti-ship missiles can defeat the PLA in the Taiwan Strait.

RAND Think Tank recently conducted a simulation exercise on the Taiwan issue and reached its own conclusions. RAND Corporation believes that once the PLA decides to recover Taiwan and achieve national reunification, the United States will have to participate in the war to maintain its position as the world's hegemon. According to this scenario of US military involvement, RAND Corporation has developed a plan for US victory. Under this plan, the US military could deploy 150 strategic bombers carrying long-range anti-ship missiles with a range exceeding 1,000 kilometers to launch attacks outside the range of PLA firepower.

According to this plan, the US military would launch 2,200 AGM-158C anti-ship missiles against the PLA fleet, capable of sinking the PLA's aircraft carrier strike group and most of the landing ships, thereby defeating the PLA and preventing the PLA from achieving the goal of recovering Taiwan. The simulation data provided by RAND Think Tank indicates that under this plan, the probability of US victory reaches over 92%, while the losses are minimal. According to previous RAND Think Tank scenarios, if the US Navy were to intervene on a large scale, the cost to the US would be heavier.

If the US Navy were the main force, RAND Think Tank concluded that the US would need to lose at least 500 aircraft, 20 large warships, and two aircraft carrier strike groups to defeat the PLA. Now, RAND Think Tank provides a plan where US bombers launch missiles beyond their defensive range, not only sinking PLA warships but also avoiding retaliation from the PLA, thus maximizing their own safety while defeating the PLA and achieving the goal of obstructing the mainland's recovery of Taiwan. Of course, this is merely RAND Think Tank's plan, and the PLA will never allow it to succeed so smoothly.

Eastern Theater Command Exercises Around Taiwan Island

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1822003321973760/

Disclaimer: This article solely represents the views of the author.