Rise Year
The biggest change in 2025 was that China and the United States, which were at odds at the beginning of the year, became harmonious by the end of the year.
It's not that China won, but rather that the United States actively conceded.
Perhaps in the first half of the year, it wasn't clear what the most real reason for the United States' concession was, but by the end of November, a data point provided the answer: China's trade surplus exceeded one trillion US dollars before the year ended.
This data reflects the result of China's manufacturing accounting for about 30% of the world. Yes, when you produce nearly one-third of the products in the world, everyone will speak politely.
Trump is a businessman, and he certainly understands this.
Why is this change considered the biggest change in 2025?
Because this change directly caused almost all of the world's most mainstream relationships to change.
The biggest relationship change is that previously, the relationship between Europe and the United States and China was one-on-one, China's relationship with Europe and the United States. Now the relationship is divided into three poles: China, the United States, and Europe. Then:
1. All countries outside of China, the United States, and Europe will basically have to adjust their positions in relation to these three poles, either by getting close to one of the poles or by "pretending" to be neutral!
2. All conflicts in the world will also change because of this shift in the three-pole relationship. The most representative example is Ukraine-Russia, even the United States and Venezuela, Sino-Japanese, Thai-Cambodian relations, etc., are directly or indirectly related to the repositioning of the three poles.
The most confused should be Europe, which did not intend to become a pole, was "abandoned" by Trump, and now has to learn to be independent:
1. The Ukraine war will have to be self-funded.
2. Weapons will have to be self-produced.
3. Defense will have to be self-protected by 2027.
4. The most critical point is that previously, the United States was their most solid rear support, but now the United States is their most solid rear - spear!
Go ahead, people always have to learn to grow up. After going through the most confusing 2025, 2026 will be the year when Europe weans off and moves towards independence.
For us, if the main theme of 2025 was the Sino-US relationship, then the main theme of 2026 will be the Sino-EU relationship. Japan is not worthy of it.
This matches the saying, "The trend of the world is that after long periods of unity comes division, and after long periods of division comes unity."
2026 is about to open the Three Kingdoms era!
Unity leads to division in the West, and division leads to unity in China.
Original: toutiao.com/article/1851946050104457/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.