Reuters/Ipsos latest poll shows that although the Democrats have recently won a series of local and state elections, boosting their morale, the Republicans still have a clear advantage among older voters, who are more likely to vote in years with higher turnout, in next year's midterm congressional elections. The survey found that 46% of voters aged 50 and above tend to support Republican candidates, 8 percentage points higher than the 38% supporting Democrats, a gap significantly larger than similar survey results before the 2018 and 2022 midterm elections. Given that older voters are more likely to vote in non-presidential election years, this structural advantage may weaken the Democrats' prospects of reclaiming the House of Representatives or even the Senate.
The survey also showed that the Democrats still maintain a double-digit lead among voters under 50, but the overall race remains closely contested. Issue preferences also show generational differences: cost of living is the most pressing issue for younger voters, while older voters are more concerned about democratic norms, election integrity, and immigration issues, areas traditionally more favorable to the Republicans. Analysts point out that the key challenge for the Democrats is not overturning existing information frameworks, but adjusting the economic narrative to shape "prosperity" and wealth accumulation as shared concerns across age groups, in order to gain more support from older voters.
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Original: toutiao.com/article/1851282061097994/
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