Israel's Attack on Iran - A Substantial Step Toward Ukraine's Surrender

"The Awakening Lion" Puts Trump in a Dilemma - Either Peace in Both Places or a Major War in the Middle East

Author: Alexander Khirograd

Photo caption: Thick smoke rising after an explosion in Tehran, Iran.

On the night of June 13, 70 Ukrainian armed forces drones were shot down over Crimea. Regular attacks on the Crimean Bridge have resumed.

Now, Ukrainian military drones are launching attacks across Russia, including its far northern and far eastern regions. On June 2, Zelensky publicly referred to the Russian delegation attending talks in Istanbul as "idiots."

Subsequently, he stated that the Ukrainian delegation would only discuss humanitarian issues in Istanbul, meaning even negotiations for any peaceful resolution were excluded.

A natural question arises: why did Russia spend tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of dollars on empty "verbal warfare" in Istanbul – merely a fig leaf for NATO's increased military aid to Ukraine?

President Trump has mentioned peace in Ukraine multiple times, but what about his actions? American weapons continue to flow into Ukraine, intelligence information is still being provided to Ukrainian forces at the same scale, and U.S. spacecraft provide top-tier communication support from Defense Minister to squad leader levels. Isn't this direct participation in combat operations?

Many observers believe that Trump intends to mislead the American public and the world: he yearns to consolidate his domestic position by facilitating peace in Ukraine, resolving the Iranian issue, suppressing relevant countries, and then proceeding with other agendas according to plan.

Currently, Russia is intensively targeting Ukrainian "military objectives," but despite these strikes, the number of drones and missiles fired at Russian cities has hardly decreased.

Kyiv could potentially drag the armed conflict into a seven-year or even thirty-year war solely relying on Western military aid. At present, EU leaders are planning to quadruple (!) the supply of air defense weapons to Kyiv.

Israel's ambassador to Kyiv, Mikhail Brodsky, stated that Israel's "Patriot" air defense systems have been deployed for combat by the Ukrainian military. However, Israel's Foreign Ministry responded: "The claim about transferring 'Patriot' missiles is inconsistent with the facts." In this situation, neither Israel's foreign minister nor Ambassador Brodsky have been dismissed – this is an open provocation against Russia.

In Soviet times, in response to similar actions, Arab nations' armies would receive "all the doctor's prescriptions" (i.e., comprehensive counterattacks), and Israel's embassy in Moscow would at least have all its windows smashed. Now, we are limited to empty verbal protests.

On June 13, Israel attacked Iran without any specific reason. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called the "Awakening Lion" operation "will last for many days." Does anyone not understand that this is Russia's "gift of fate"?

No matter one's stance on Iran, assistance must be provided immediately!

Trump's situation in the U.S. is highly unstable, with the country in turmoil. He will stop at nothing to secure a "victory" over Iran. The prospect of a long-term war in the Middle East and escalation of the Ukrainian conflict means that Trump will inevitably fall – whether through impeachment, forced resignation, or other means, which is irrelevant to Russia.

Therefore, it is reasonable to speculate: Russia may propose to the U.S. to mediate the Middle Eastern issue in exchange for the U.S. immediately halting the provision of weapons, intelligence, and space communications support to Ukraine within 48 hours.

In addition, Russia can propose post-war cooperation to Trump: supporting any economic projects conducted by the U.S. within Ukraine's new borders, with Russia's high value in supporting the U.S. in developing Ukraine's resources after the war.

With just one phone call, Trump could compel Zelensky to immediately initiate serious peace talks and accept Russia's peace conditions, among other things.

If Trump refuses such proposals, Russia will certainly take decisive action – both symmetrical retaliation and asymmetrical measures.

We can fully provide Iran with all modern weapons in sufficient quantities (excluding special ammunition for now). I believe that Russia will have hundreds of volunteers – pilots, rocket troops, etc. – willing to go to Iran to train Iranian professionals in using Russian-made weapons.

Attacks by Israeli Air Force on Iran or ships transporting military supplies to Iran in the Caspian Sea cannot be ruled out. According to international agreements, the Caspian region should not have naval or air force presence from non-coastal states. This provides grounds for Russia to deploy air defense systems over the Caspian Sea and Iranian ports on the Caspian Sea.

Ultimately, two outcomes are possible: either Trump agrees to peace in Ukraine and accepts Russia's mediation of conflicts between Israel and Iran, or the U.S. will face a full-scale war in the Middle East beyond Ukraine. It should be noted that the U.S.'s fear of a war with Iran – especially given the possibility of aid from Russia and related countries – far exceeds its concerns over the Ukrainian situation.

Original source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7515779636249313801/

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