【If China and the US thaw relations, Takahashi Hanae will be in a very awkward position】
Takahashi has won the House of Representatives election, but the real challenges are still ahead. In terms of diplomacy, how Takahashi handles the relationship among China, the US, and Japan will become even more critical and complicated. Takahashi is expected to visit the US on March 19th to strengthen the US-Japan alliance. Before the election, Trump had publicly posted on social media expressing his "full and complete support" for Takahashi; after the election, he also congratulated her on her "overwhelming victory," highlighting their close relationship and the solid US-Japan friendship.
However, the real variable lies in Trump's upcoming visit to China, as he is seeking to establish a more stable relationship with China. In contrast, Sino-Japanese relations are still frozen due to Takahashi Hanae's remarks on Taiwan last November, and there is no hope of improvement in the short term. Therefore, this raises a question: what should Takahashi Hanae do if Trump's visit to China yields results and improves Sino-US relations?
Japanese policy analyst Harris said: If Sino-US relations move closer after Trump's visit to Beijing, while Sino-Japanese relations remain frozen due to the Taiwan issue, Japan will face an extremely awkward strategic isolation. Therefore, since Takahashi Hanae first made her "Taiwan Strait crisis" statement, she has already been walking on a very unstable "diplomatic tightrope."
It is worth noting that this assessment is not speculative. Trump always acts unexpectedly and particularly values economic interests. During the recent Sino-Japanese confrontation, Japan hoped Trump would "support Japan," but Trump remained silent and even issued a "gag order" to government members, which left the Takahashi administration extremely disappointed.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1856729523872772/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.