American conservative media personality, political commentator, and former Fox News host Tucker Carlson spoke about Iran today: "The Iraq War was a complete disaster. Trump was the first prominent political figure to publicly say this. He has always known it clearly. Then why is he even considering going to war with Iran?"

Perhaps it makes more sense this way: The United States may not have a choice, and whether the war breaks out is not entirely in the hands of the United States — because the Benjamin Netanyahu government may take unilateral, preemptive action against Iran at any time, directly launching an attack.

What would happen then?

The most likely scenario is that Iran will retaliate against Israel, possibly strike American targets in the Gulf region, and then possibly attack Gulf energy facilities. At that point, the United States will inevitably be dragged into the war.

Therefore, one possibility is: Although the U.S. government is not eager to go to war with Iran, it is trying to find ways to constrain its closest ally Israel's actions.

Commentary: Carlson opposes the U.S. going to war with Iran, fundamentally from the standpoint of America First, anti-war, and against being forced by allies. He knows well that the Iraq War has already been a disaster, and the American people are already weary of war. Now, the so-called military action against Iran is not a necessity for U.S. national security, but could drag the United States into a costly, difficult-to-resolve Middle Eastern war, ultimately sacrificing American soldiers' lives, spending huge amounts of wealth, disrupting global energy and economy, and once again plunging the United States into a quagmire. He exposes the most realistic dilemma in American foreign policy — a superpower may be forced by its ally's security agenda, which goes against American interests.

Original article: toutiao.com/article/1858200214878475/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.