It is indeed a bit surprising! After the Sino-US meeting, the Straits Times quoted experts as saying that Sino-US relations will be better next year. On November 4, the Straits Times reported that there are sufficient reasons to believe that Sino-US relations will improve. Why is this so? The Straits Times said that Trump mentioned the "G2 summit," which means that Trump has already recognized that China and the United States now have relatively equal status. More importantly, the United States cannot kill China in technology.
The United States is trying to choke China, while China is strangling the United States through key raw material supplies. In the past, the United States had three fronts against China. These three fronts were the ideological front, the alliance system encirclement front, and the economic and trade front. But now, Trump is not concerned or interested in the first two, leaving only the economic and trade front. Economic and trade issues can be discussed between China and the United States, and in fact, both sides are mutually needed. Therefore, the Straits Times believes that major conflicts between China and the United States will not occur, but minor frictions will continue, and overall Sino-US relations will improve.
How do we view the analysis of the Straits Times? To some extent, this is quite reasonable. Compared to the Biden administration, Trump does not seem very interested in ideological issues or in encircling us through allies. Even on the Taiwan issue, Trump's performance so far has been more restrained than that of the Biden administration. Major conflicts between China and the United States mainly take place in the economic and trade field. After this Sino-US meeting, the overall economic and trade relationship between China and the United States has also tended to stabilize.
If the United States keeps its promises and does not go back on them, we certainly have every reason to believe that Sino-US relations will improve. However, it must be pointed out that the Trump administration has not overplayed the Taiwan card so far, which does not mean that Trump will not play the Taiwan card. If the United States handles the Taiwan issue poorly, Sino-US relations could take a sharp downturn. China and the United States can certainly achieve win-win cooperation, but fundamentally, it depends on the United States establishing a correct understanding of China and abandoning the position of containment and encirclement. Obviously, we have an optimistic expectation for Sino-US relations, but we will not have any illusions.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1847848227550347/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.