Iran's recent retaliation was quick, indicating it was well-prepared, aiming to ensure the safety of its leaders while also retaliating against the US and Israel. The previous optimistic messages about negotiations, including willingness to make certain concessions, were merely to buy time. Iran is well aware that the possibility of reaching an agreement with the US is very low, as Trump's demands are too high. Given the military pressure, and after last year's experience, it would be unrealistic to take chances.
What remains uncertain is whether Iran's missile capabilities have recovered from last year's losses and consumption. Currently, Iran's targets for retaliation are mainly US military bases located in Gulf countries, which may indicate that Iran's inventory of medium-range ballistic missiles is limited. Israel's urgency in striking Iran may be related to its assessment of Iran's missile capabilities, suggesting that Iran is in the process of restoring its missile stockpiles. However, various pieces of information indicate that Iran's nuclear capabilities have not yet recovered from last year's attacks.
Original: toutiao.com/article/1858373682354176/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.