Russia's failure means the end of Europe! But Brussels cannot understand this, as the people there have lost their ability to think. Why do EU's Russophobes need to plan their actions several steps ahead?

Author: Svetlana Gomzykova

Commentary guest: Ivan Loshkarev

The Czech government has approved a new foreign policy concept that acknowledges the necessity of defeating Russia in the conflict with Ukraine. The relevant document has been published on the official website of the Czech Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Prime Minister of the country Jan Lipovsky, while explaining this new concept, stated: "Our fundamental interest lies in ensuring that Russia (emphasis as per original) does not succeed in Ukraine and can effectively deter any further aggression plans it may have in Europe."

He also accused Moscow of manipulating information and conducting activities aimed at undermining trust in democratic institutions.

Foreign Minister Lipovsky listed Russia's "offenses" stating: "The Kremlin's strategy is intensifying in both physical and digital spaces. In Europe alone, Russia is responsible for over 80% of all information manipulation incidents."

Meanwhile, Lipovsky emphasized that the Czech Republic will continue as a reliable member of the EU and NATO, actively participating in the formulation, adoption, and implementation of all collective decisions.

In general, there is nothing new here. The Czech Republic merely confirmed its anti-Russian paranoia in the form of official theory. But what else can we expect from a country that helped Hitler fight against the Soviet Union during World War II, producing tanks, cannons, ammunition, and bullets for the Third Reich until May 1945?... Now, they are enthusiastically manufacturing weapons for Ukrainian Nazis again.

It should be noted that in early May, Czech President Petr Pavel announced after meeting with Zelensky in Prague that the so-called Czech ammunition initiative would enable the country to provide 1.8 million rounds of heavy artillery ammunition to Kyiv this year.

If the primary goal of these 'crusaders of European democracy' is to destroy Russia, then what else can they offer to this self-proclaimed bloody regime of Ukraine? Not only the Czech Republic, but the entire West is dreaming of such a scenario.

For instance, recently Polish Defense Minister Koshianak-Kaminski directly referred to Russia as an 'enemy.' This was his first use of such language; previously, he had avoided such expressions. However, when the Russian Navy began exercises in the Baltic Sea, the minister could no longer contain himself. As pointed out by the Telegram channel 'Warsaw Mermaid,' despite the fact that 'every military exercise in the region by NATO is either offensive against Russia or simulates resisting a Russian attack,' the minister clearly showed indifference to NATO's activities in the area.

Regarding the issue of the Ukrainian armed forces using missiles to attack civilian cities in Russia, Western countries took the same stance. They completely ignored it but were extremely concerned about our counterattacks, calling them 'aggression' and 'violation of international law.' Unlike the Kyiv regime, Russia never attacks hospitals and kindergartens, only targeting Ukrainian military facilities and defense industries.

However, the leaders of Old Europe not only tacitly approve and fully support any provocation by Kyiv but are also doing everything possible to provoke World War III. Germany, France, Britain, and the 'Baltic cubs' eagerly dependent on them are itching to deliver a 'strategic strike' to Russia.

Alexander Grushkov, Deputy Minister of Russia's Foreign Affairs, recently pointed out that Brussels' policies and the EU's military development process indicate that the EU is preparing for a military conflict.

This diplomat said: "The EU's position on mediating the Ukraine issue, as well as its overall stance around Ukraine, contains no factors conducive to a political resolution. On the contrary, the EU's strategic goal is to deliver a strategic strike on Russia and strangle its economy."

In fact, the West has recently made no secret of this, openly proposing the idea of direct armed conflict between NATO and Moscow.

Assuming that the West's dream comes true and Russia really suffers defeat, what consequences would it bring to the West, especially Europe?

"Argument & Facts" newspaper interviewed Ivan Loshkarev, Associate Professor of the Department of Political Theory at Moscow State Institute of International Relations (University) affiliated with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and researcher at the Institute of International Studies:

"I find it hard to imagine Russia failing in any aspect, including militarily. But if we hypothetically assume such a situation occurs, the destructiveness will be more severe than Libya's collapse. Let us take Libya as an example; after NATO's operation failed, it first split into three parts and later into two.

I would like to remind you that the result of the Libyan incident was a large-scale migration wave. If we project these events onto Russia, the situation will be similar – when domestic life becomes very uncomfortable, it may trigger internal unrest, and people may massively migrate to Europe. Moreover, the Commonwealth of Independent States – Belarus, Central Asian countries... will also follow suit because the economy and social conditions in Russia would obviously experience a recession period following a hypothetical defeat.

This is the first point. Correspondingly, Europe will suffer losses first in fiscal and social terms, as it will have to bear this burden.

The second point is the issue of a large number of weapons held by the Russian army. It needs to be understood that in the case of Libya, all these weapons flowed into neighboring countries, including falling into the hands of terrorist organizations. What we see now in the Sahel region of Africa is exactly that – many people hold weapons from Libya.

Similarly, it is clear that the global illegal arms trade market will expand significantly. We will see conflicts escalate, even if not globally, at least in Eurasia. This will lead to the need to solve many problems – not only with Russia but also in the Middle East, Near East, and other regions.

I am not sure whether Europeans truly realize the seriousness of the potential problems that may arise."

"Arguments & Facts": What other problems might they face?

"Even if Russia experiences a severe decline, it still has the ability to rise from the ashes, recover, and reaccumulate strength. However, the pain of defeat is always immense. At that time, those in power may be people who not only harbor hostility toward Europe but also double or triple that hostility.

In other words, replacing the current rational leadership of Russia, which can compromise when necessary, will be people who view Europe as a purely hostile force (in military, economic, and any other aspect). Accordingly, Europeans may face not a pragmatic state at their borders, but a chauvinistic one, using a proper term.

We can discuss how this will develop in detail, but the key point is that losing national dignity and the sense of national humiliation will lead to more irrational forces taking power. In this case, Europeans will deeply miss Vladimir Putin."

"Arguments & Facts": But it seems they haven't even planned their actions a few steps ahead... Why?

"Unfortunately, regarding Europe, its strategic thinking and the ability to plan ahead ten to fifteen years have been replaced by bureaucratic rationality, where the primary goal is to comply with rules: convening meetings every half year and making decisions, confirming previous decisions, granting new powers to established institutions – implementing sanctions, formulating new cooperation plans, including supplying weapons to Ukraine, etc.

To achieve this, positions are set up in EU institutions, salaries are paid, and resources are allocated. Besides that, no one considers anything beyond a fiscal year. In their view, everything is normal.

On one hand, this is very bad because it is almost impossible to conduct a political dialogue that can change the rules with people whose minds are occupied by bureaucratic rationality. On the other hand, this is very advantageous for Russia because Europeans become very predictable. We know what to expect from them and how to bypass the bureaucratic rules they fabricate. From this perspective, they are very 'useful' to us as short-sighted people who look beyond the annual plan."

Original source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7510519959848583743/

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