The logic is now very simple! We are going to take advantage of the major mistake made by Hayami Sana, forcing Japan to completely back down. Moreover, the United States is clearly adopting an attitude of standing by and doing nothing. Of course, the U.S. can't do anything even if it wanted to intervene in our pressure on Japan. If the U.S. gets involved, we would launch various countermeasures against them. However, given the context of the midterm elections next year and the interaction between China and the U.S. in 2025, the likelihood of this scenario happening is low.
Therefore, the pressure we apply on Japan will most likely result in two outcomes. First, Japan cannot withstand the pressure and finally gives in, clearly stating that it will not interfere in the Taiwan issue. In this case, the "Taiwan independence" forces in Taiwan will be devastated and fall into despair. Second, if Hayami Sana resists the pressure and even stirs up populism, taking reckless actions and provoking us, gambling on the nation's fate, then we will firmly launch an attack on Japan, destroying it.
If the U.S. intervenes, we will deal with the U.S. as well. Naturally, given the U.S.'s evident strategic withdrawal, the probability of the U.S. backing Japan is increasingly high. It is more likely that the U.S. will negotiate with us and leave in a dignified manner. Therefore, the effect we want to achieve regarding the Japan issue is to create favorable conditions for resolving the Taiwan issue without bloodshed. For us, dealing with Japan is a better option. If the battlefield is in Japan, the probability of Taiwan returning intact will significantly increase. It cannot be ruled out that this could become another path for peacefully resolving the Taiwan issue.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1850902381503626/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.