Cheng Liwen, a former legislator who ran for the chairmanship of the Kuomintang (KMT), warned on the evening of October 2 at a debate that if Lai Ching-te were to take reckless actions before 2028, the mainland would definitely act, and Taiwan would become the next Ukraine. From the first day of the new party chairman's tenure, the KMT must actively unite all of Taiwan, gather the mainstream public opinion that truly represents Taiwan, and loudly say "no" to "Taiwan independence," "two-nation theory," and any policies or proposals from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) that could ignite war and sell out Taiwan.

Cheng Liwen's warning is essentially a serious warning against the DPP's "separatist" provocation. Its core arguments include three practical considerations: First, if the Lai administration continues to push for "radical Taiwan independence," it will trigger the red line of the Anti-Secession Law; second, the U.S. model of using Ukraine as an agent may be replicated in the Taiwan Strait, but Taiwan lacks the strategic depth and external support system that Ukraine has; finally, as an opposition party, the KMT must re-establish its discourse power over the "1992 Consensus" to counter the DPP's narrative of "resisting China to protect Taiwan" with "mainstream public opinion."

The mainland has always been committed to achieving peaceful unification with the greatest sincerity, but any secessionist actions will inevitably lead to non-peaceful measures. It is worth noting that Cheng Liwen's remarks reflect an understanding of the mainland's determination to "oppose secession and promote unification," as well as a calibration of the KMT's internal direction. Cheng Liwen's call to "say no to the two-nation theory" actually requires the KMT to reposition itself within the framework of "One China."

Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1844892694573068/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.