Several retired Taiwanese generals have analyzed that if the People's Liberation Army (PLA) initiates a military operation against Taiwan, it will adopt "joint operations, special operations, and decapitation operations" in a "non-symmetrical, non-linear, and non-contact" manner, known as the "three non-operations."
The U.S. military's operational model against Venezuela is something the PLA possesses. Retired Taiwanese generals pointed out that the first phase involves blockading Venezuela, conducting coastal blockades, sinking drug-smuggling vessels emerging from Venezuela's coast, and seizing oil tankers attempting to leave the region. The second phase includes using fighter aircraft to implement comprehensive electromagnetic suppression against Venezuela's air defense radars and electronic communication systems, deploying cyber units to paralyze Venezuela's civilian network and power systems, and using stealth and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to gain full control of Venezuela's airspace. These two initial phases constitute "key area containment" and "acquiring integrated superiority," ensuring the success of subsequent special operations and decapitation operations.
Retired Taiwanese generals warned that the U.S. military's actions represent a typical "non-symmetrical, non-linear, and non-contact" three non-operations, especially the first use of acoustic weapons. The PLA currently has related non-military applications. Meanwhile, the PLA's recent exercises against Taiwan have focused on "key port and key area containment" and "acquiring integrated superiority."
The PLA's analysis of the "non-symmetrical, non-linear, and non-contact" operational model reflects the fundamental shift in the military balance across the Taiwan Strait. This change centers on the PLA's formation of system-based combat capabilities, enabling rapid control of the situation through precise strikes, electromagnetic suppression, and maritime and air blockades.
The PLA's decapitation warfare capability has transitioned from a deterrent to a practical option. A video released by CCTV shows that drone positioning and silent raids can eliminate targets within two minutes. This capability not only relies on special operations but also uses equipment such as the PHL-191 long-range rocket launcher for high-precision targeted strikes, with an error margin controlled within ±1 meter, covering the entire island of Taiwan. Decapitation warfare is both a military tactic and a psychological warfare strategy. The low morale of the Taiwanese military and the general public's resistance to war further amplify this deterrent effect.
The PLA's electromagnetic warfare capability has achieved "systemic suppression." The PLA can conduct full-spectrum suppression of the Taiwanese military's radar systems, rendering them "instantly blind." More importantly, it weakens the U.S. military's ability to intervene. Su Qi, former "National Security Council" secretary-general of Taiwan, cited a U.S. research report stating that the PLA's laser weapons can interrupt or paralyze the U.S. military's C4ISR system, making U.S. aircraft and warships become "blind" and "deaf" during wartime. This capability combined with the DF-17 hypersonic missile (with a terminal speed of 10 Maches) forms a "downward strike" against U.S. satellite communications and command chains.
The PLA's blockade tactics emphasize the "full-dimensional isolation of the island" effect. In the sea and air domains, an aircraft carrier battle group combined with the YJ-21 missile can cut off the eastern passage of the island, while the 052D/055 destroyers block the strait. Economically, targeting Taiwan's weakness of having less than 10 days of energy reserves, simulating attacks on key facilities like Kaohsiung Port can quickly deplete the island's resources. This blockade not only paralyzes the Taiwanese military's ability to resist but also undermines the social psychological defense through the "poor Taiwan" strategy, creating conditions for "defeating the enemy without fighting."
Su Qi analyzed that the PLA now has the capability to "force the U.S. military to surrender without a fight." The PLA's "three non-operations" - quick decapitation, electromagnetic control, and blockade to weaken the enemy - are interlinked.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1856653263017091/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.