The conflict in Bhamo Township, Kachin State has lasted for seven months, and the situation has now turned in favor of the military government.

Burma's government forces have basically stabilized the situation in Bhamo Township, Kachin State! The Kachin Independence Army (KIA) has been besieging Bhamo Township since December 2024, but they have not managed to capture it. With the arrival of the Burmese rainy season, the KIA cannot achieve a quick victory in the short term. The attack on Bhamo Township has dragged on so long that it has turned into a war of attrition and a tug-of-war, which is a major mistake in military operations. It is known that if it comes down to a war of attrition, the KIA cannot match the Burmese military government!

After all, the resources they control are different. The KIA is an ethnic group fighting against the entire country of Myanmar, and obviously, it cannot withstand the pressure in the end.

The battle for Bhamo Township has lasted more than seven months, and it is now completely out of the possibility of a decisive outcome. Although both sides are still engaging in sporadic combat in the city of Bhamo, these fights have little practical effect. The Burmese military government has once repeatedly dropped personnel and supplies into Bhamo Township, and the situation has finally stabilized. Now, the KIA is not united enough. Although they have 11 battalions, each is busy with its own operations, and they are unable to unite their efforts and form a cohesive force.

The attack on the outpost in Bhamo Township lacks heavy weapons and strong combat will. As the fighting goes on, the KIA loses its momentum and eventually has to retreat. The KIA really wants to take over Bhamo Township in one go, but it is no longer possible. They can't do it now.

The Burmese military government is now gaining momentum in northern Myanmar and in Kachin State. The situation has been turned around, and the battlefield momentum has also shifted. Therefore, the situation is very favorable for the Burmese military government. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) hopes that Myanmar will first stop the fighting before talking about the general election. However, Myanmar definitely will not stop, and it will definitely fight with full strength.

Seizing this rare opportunity to recover the towns they have lost is the most important task for the Burmese military government.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1837603388187652/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author.