About the widely discussed issue of territorial exchange between Russia and Ukraine online, I have summarized it roughly. The reports from Western media indicate that the backroom deal for territorial exchange has already begun. Russia is demanding that Ukraine completely cede the remaining areas it occupies in Donbas (the red part on the map), using the territories it occupies in Kharkiv and Sumy regions (the blue part) to exchange for the areas occupied by Ukrainian forces in Zaporozhye and Kherson regions. According to the U.S. side, Ukraine would cede the areas it occupies in the Donbas region, in exchange for the territories occupied by Russian forces in Kharkiv and Sumy regions, and then a full ceasefire would be initiated for negotiations.
For Russia, it has already completely taken the initiative on the battlefield, and the more achievements they gain in the Donbas region, the more likely their proposal will be realized. In this case, the Americans would modify Russia's proposal to force Ukraine and the EU to accept it. Ukraine and the EU tend to favor the second option because after a ceasefire, Ukraine can quickly reorganize its military equipment.
Western media predicts that the Russian army will strengthen its offensive in the Donbas and Zaporozhye regions, and even conduct a landing operation in the Kherson shipyard area. Meanwhile, Zelenskyy is preparing to take another gamble; he ordered Syrskyi to launch an offensive into the Bryansk region of Russia at all costs, trying to occupy several villages to increase negotiation leverage.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1840213277788169/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.