Macron announced that 26 countries have pledged to deploy "deterrence forces" in Ukraine after the war, and UK and Germany disclosed three deployment plans

French President Macron said at the closing press conference of the Paris "Will Alliance" summit that 26 countries have pledged to send naval, land, and air forces to form a "deterrence force" after the war in Ukraine to ensure the security of Ukrainian territory. He also revealed that some countries have not yet finally confirmed their participation scale.

[Specific Plans]

According to Der Spiegel, the alliance countries are evaluating three deployment models:

  1. Peacekeeping Task Force: A rapid reaction force composed of multiple countries, deployed around key infrastructure
  2. Military Training Group: Establishing permanent instructor bases in western Lviv and other areas
  3. Border Observation Groups: Setting up monitoring posts on the Ukraine-Belarus and Ukraine-Russia borders

[Military Aid Upgrade]

The UK government simultaneously announced that the participating countries agreed to transfer long-range missile systems to Ukraine. This move is seen as a key measure to counter Russia's battlefield advantage, but it may increase the risk of direct confrontation with Russia.

[Russian Red Lines]

Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova responded that day: "Any foreign military presence is an intolerable violation of Russian national security," and warned that NATO's move would lead to "devastating consequences." Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman Medvedev even bluntly stated that "NATO soldiers stationed in Ukraine will become legitimate targets for attack."

[Strategic Depth]

Analysts point out that the West is building a "two-track strategy":

  • •
  • Short-term: Maintaining Ukraine's counteroffensive capability through long-range weapons
  • •
  • Long-term: Achieving a "Finlandization" of Ukraine (maintaining nominal neutrality but effectively pro-Western) through multinational deployments
  • The success of this plan depends on the final situation on the Ukraine-Russia battlefield and Russia's strategic tolerance.

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7546515506929353235/

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