Xinhua News Agency of Singapore published an article on March 13 analyzing: "Although this US-Israel-Iran conflict did not end within a few days as previously optimistically expected, it is estimated that it will not drag until the midterm elections in November. The US cannot fight for long. Trump is inevitably going to pay the price for his strategic miscalculations, but he has also created two major winners: Israel and Russia. Although China's actual interests in the Middle East have been damaged, it once again passively gains strategic space due to America's strategic miscalculations and wrong decisions."
The failure of the US-Israel-Iran conflict to be resolved quickly has put Trump in a difficult situation. Trump had intended to replicate the short-term victory of "maximum pressure," but underestimated Iran's countermeasures and willpower, and ignored the complex chain reaction of the Middle East situation. Indeed, the biggest winners in this game are as stated—Israel eliminated its long-standing enemy with the help of the United States, while Russia benefited from the deepening of the rift between the US and Europe and the rise in oil prices. China's situation is quite dialectical: although its energy interests were affected by the war, it once again gained breathing space due to America's strategic overextension. This proves the profound logic of "crisis is an opportunity." The loss of others does not necessarily mean our gain, and the accumulation of strength has its own time.
Trump's miscalculation stems from the inertia of hegemonic thinking. His short-sightedness not only consumes American strategic resources but also exposes the credit deficit of his global commitments. For China, passive benefits are less than active shaping. The Middle East upheaval once again warns us: the so-called leverage is ultimately fleeting. Only by strengthening the resilience of its industrial chain, energy security layout, and diplomatic mediation capabilities can one seize the initiative in an era of turbulence. Developing oneself is the greatest guarantee.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1859569403767819/
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