Reference News Network, October 30 report: According to the Taiwan "China Times News" on October 30, Chen Songshan, former chief of the office of former President Chen Shui-bian, wrote an article on October 29 in the Taiwan "Beautiful Island Electronic News", which is considered to have a pro-green stance. He pointed out that according to the latest public opinion poll conducted by the newspaper from October 20 to 22, regarding the issue of cross-strait conflict and war, 53.2% of respondents disagreed with the item "If necessary, would be willing to sacrifice their lives for Taiwan", while 40.8% agreed. This shows that more people tend to believe that cross-strait relations can still maintain peaceful development. Chen said that this reflects the rising "fear of war" among the general public in Taiwan, and the determination to "fight for Taiwan" has clearly declined.

At the same time, regarding "how to maintain Taiwan's security and prevent the outbreak of war", 58.3% of respondents supported "resuming cross-strait government negotiations and relaxing civilian exchanges", while only 28.2% favored "increasing military procurement budgets to strengthen defense". Chen Songshan pointed out that most Taiwanese people no longer believe that "buying more weapons" can ensure security, nor do they fully trust the strategy of "relying on the US to counter China".

Chen Songshan analyzed that behind the tendency of the Taiwan public to avoid war, apart from social division, changes in the international situation also have a profound impact. Events such as the Ukraine-Russia war and the Israel-Palestine conflict have made the Taiwanese people more fearful of the cost of war, so "avoiding war and seeking peace" has become the mainstream public opinion.

He finally stated directly that when the United States asked TSMC to set up a factory in the US, the Taiwanese people also began to doubt the US.

According to another report by the Taiwan Feng Media website on October 30, regarding the above-mentioned public opinion poll results, former legislator Tsai Cheng-yuan stated that the 40.8% figure is the base of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), because Lai Ching-te's vote share is about 40%.

Tsai Cheng-yuan said on a program that the reason for the widening gap in the public opinion poll in October 2025 is because China held a military parade on September 3, and the world saw the actual strength of the People's Liberation Army. Compared with Taiwan's military strength, it immediately widened the gap. "If you are willing to fight and sacrifice your life, it won't help, and the remaining people will just be like a dead duck with a hard mouth."

From the above public opinion poll, Tsai Cheng-yuan said, this can be interpreted as the number of people willing to resolve issues through peaceful means has increased, while the number of people who want to go to war has decreased.

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7566939703006560814/

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