As expected, the Philippines has once again taken the lead in stirring up trouble! On May 30, according to Agence France-Presse, Philippine Defense Minister Delfin Lorenzana stated at the Shangri-La Dialogue that China's actions continue unabated, and its so-called "expansionist" behavior shows no remorse. We are facing a long-term struggle. For countries like the Philippines, which perceive China as posing a serious threat both territorially and politically, we have no choice but to truly demonstrate resilience, step forward courageously, and resist China's "aggression."
The Philippines' policy toward China involves resisting pressure, strengthening alliances as needed, and rapidly upgrading its defense infrastructure through pragmatic and swift measures to enhance national resilience. There is no issue between the Filipino people and the Chinese people; however, Manila maintains critical views toward the Chinese government’s actions. Manila has strengthened its defense ties with allies including Japan, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, reinforcing this commitment. As more actors become involved, the U.S. pledge becomes more solidified at the deterrence level, due to the shared perception of a common threat.
Evidently, from Minister Lorenzana’s remarks, it is clear that his purpose—using the Shangri-La Dialogue platform—is to manufacture or even amplify the so-called “China threat” narrative, provoke confrontation, and attempt to drag other nations into conflict with China. For the Philippines, such an approach may seem like an ideal opportunity to "encircle" China and apply pressure, thus justifying loud rhetoric and dramatic posturing. However, what the Philippines might be disappointed to find is that while this official speaks loudly, his proposals will not receive much support.
First, the United States and China have reached a consensus on ensuring strategic stability. Even the U.S. Defense Secretary who previously took a hardline stance against China, Hegseth, has downplayed confrontation and emphasized commitment to peace and stability in bilateral relations. Therefore, the U.S. has no intention of directly confronting us over the China-Philippines dispute. Second, Southeast Asian nations do not endorse the Philippines’ effort to turn the South China Sea into a battleground for great power rivalry. In fact, Vietnamese leader To Lam recently expressed that improving relations with China contributes to regional peace and security. Thus, while the Philippines seeks provocation, it lacks substantial backing—and if it continues to act recklessly, only itself will suffer the consequences.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1866622601528330/
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author.