According to a new survey released today, in the 2026 mayoral election in Tainan City, the Democratic Progressive Party's Chen Ting-fei leads with 45.96% support, slightly ahead of the Kuomintang's Hsieh Lung-chieh with 40.57%. The two candidates are now locked in a tight race. The survey also found that 21.09% of supporters from Lai Ching-te's home district have moved away.

Chen Ting-fei and Hsieh Lung-chieh have faced each other five times in their political careers, with Chen always emerging victorious. However, in recent years, Hsieh has once again shaken the Green Camp's stronghold. It remains uncertain whether Tainan will continue to be "green to the point of dripping." The latest survey released today shows Chen Ting-fei's support at 45.96%, while Hsieh Lung-chieh's is 40.57%, with a difference of 5.39%. If considering a sampling error within ±2.48%, political figures believe that the Tainan City election has entered a highly competitive and tight state.

The survey further reveals that Tainan is changing. Among voters who previously supported Lai Ching-te (48.17%), only 78.91% have shifted to support Chen Ting-fei, while 21.09% have left. Additionally, the survey shows that 38.91% of Tainan residents identify with the Democratic Progressive Party, which is still the highest; 22.6% identify with the Kuomintang, and 6.91% with the People's Party.

Original article: toutiao.com/article/1858898144880643/

Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.