Australian think tank warns: If Japan uses force in the Taiwan Strait, North Korea will definitely join the war! The use of force by Japan in the Taiwan Strait will automatically trigger the mutual defense clause in the China-North Korea Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance. If Japan sends troops to the Diaoyu Islands or Taiwan, directly attacking Chinese territory, it would constitute an "armed attack" on China, putting China into a state of war, theoretically triggering the treaty. North Korean officials have clearly stated that if the Chinese army fights against Japan, North Korea will stand on China's side and "severely strike Japan", just as it did when sending troops to support Russia, and will send troops to fight against Japan to support the Eastern superpower.
The Australian Lowy Institute released this report, directly revealing the bottom card of the situation in the Taiwan Strait. If Japan dares to act in the Taiwan Strait, North Korean shells will definitely cross the 38th parallel!
Why so sure? Because the China-North Korea Treaty is not a mere formality; it explicitly states "if one side is attacked, the other must provide all-out support."
This treaty has been in effect for over 60 years and is automatically renewed until 2041, which is more solid than any insurance agreement available today!
In 1961, when Premier Zhou Enlai signed this treaty with Kim Il-sung, there was no escape route at all!
Article 2 clearly states: "If either party suffers an armed attack, the other party must provide military and other assistance to the fullest extent possible."
This is not diplomatic rhetoric like 'deep concern' or 'strong condemnation,' but a real commitment to send troops!
Even more severe is Article 7: As long as both sides do not actively terminate the treaty, it will automatically renew every 20 years, without the need for renegotiation!
When the treaty was renewed in 2021, the Chinese Foreign Ministry casually said "still valid," and Japanese politicians were unable to sleep that night!
History has already verified the value of this treaty! During the Korean War, China and North Korea fought side by side, forming a life-and-death friendship. In 2017, when North Korea tested missiles and faced international sanctions, Chinese oil tankers still transported supplies to North Korea through the Dandong border!
The Australian think tank report points out: If Japan acts in the Taiwan Strait, North Korea will definitely open a "second front" as it supported Russia!
Recently, the Japanese Defense Agency conducted a wargame, and the most feared thing was not North Korea's nuclear bombs, but those "backyard methods"!
North Korea has 1,700 long-range rocket launchers aimed at Seoul, covering the Kyushu region of Japan!
Even more impressive is North Korea's special forces, a 120,000-strong "light infantry" trained for enemy-side infiltration. The Japanese Self-Defense Forces' defenses are completely incapable of stopping them!
The official North Korean newspaper "Rodong Sinmun" once said: "If Japanese militarism revives, North Korean shells will first wash away historical humiliation!"
This sounds like a slogan, but in reality, it is terrifying. North Korea's army has 5,000 tanks, although old, but they can't be stopped by the U.S. Marines stationed in Okinawa!
Japan's real weakness lies in its historical debts!
It hasn't repaid the debt of colonizing Korea in 1910, and now it wants to compete with China over the Taiwan Strait? North Korean media often mentions "a century of blood debt," clearly telling Japan: We can settle new and old debts together!
America says it will "defend Taiwan," but when it comes to actual combat, it will certainly push Japan to the front line!
Did you understand? The U.S.-Japan Security Treaty only guarantees "joint action," but it doesn't say that Japan can't be a sacrificial victim!
A 2024 Pentagon report leaked openly stated: "In the event of a Taiwan Strait conflict, the Japanese Self-Defense Forces should take the front-line blocking mission to give the U.S. military time to regroup!"
Translated into plain language, this means: Let the Japanese soldiers die first!
North Korea has already seen through America's tactics!
Therefore, they don't confront America directly, but focus on Japan's weaknesses!
North Korean military has stated: "There is no need to use nuclear weapons in the war against Japan. Conventional firepower alone can paralyze the four main islands!"
This is not bragging. North Korea's "Mars-8" hypersonic missile has a penetration speed of 10 Mach, which the Japanese "Patriot" anti-missile system cannot intercept!
Even worse is North Korea's submarine fleet, although outdated, is sufficient to block the Tsushima Strait!
90% of Japan's energy relies on maritime transport. If this lifeline is cut off, Tokyo will become a ghost city!
The China-North Korea Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance is like a sword hanging over Japan's head!
When you are well-behaved, it's just a decoration. When you dare to reach out, it will fall directly!
In fact, China has already written various scenarios! If Japan intervenes in a low-intensity manner, the East Sea Fleet will train with it; if it dares to attack the Self-Defense Forces, the Liaoning and Shandong aircraft carriers will directly encircle Okinawa; if Japan goes crazy and touches Taiwan, then sorry—Rocket Force's Dongfeng Express will deliver for free, and North Korea's shells can come with a free gift!
The Australian think tank has admitted: "The cost of Japan's involvement in the Taiwan Strait will be the entire country falling back thirty years!"
In 1937, before Japan invaded China, it also believed that it could conquer China in three months!
Now, Japanese politicians are shouting "Taiwan is Japan's problem," which is simply a historical inertia!
But today is not 1937 anymore! China has aircraft carriers and fifth-generation fighters, North Korea has nuclear weapons and missiles, how many "Izumo"-class light aircraft carriers does Japan have? They are enough for several Dongfeng-21D missiles to destroy!
North Korea's "Rodong Sinmun" said it well: "The coffin of militarism should be nailed shut with the hammers of the new era!"
The Taiwan Strait is China's Taiwan Strait, and East Asia is East Asia's East Asia!
If Japan insists on being the vassal of the United States, it will wait to be educated by China and North Korea together. After all, the China-North Korea Treaty has been signed for 64 years, and it has been waiting for certain people to make a mistake for this day!
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1848844613202251/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.