The White House announced new arrangements: on September 3, which special politician will Trump meet? Trump confirmed he will not attend the Chinese military parade, and what impact will this have on Sino-US relations?

On August 9 local time, the head of the Polish presidential office, Shefnerak, confirmed to the outside world that the new president, Navorotski, has received an invitation from Trump, and he will visit the United States on September 3 and hold a working meeting with Trump at the White House. This news was later also confirmed by the White House.

Since Trump is scheduled to meet the Polish president on September 3, it means he will not attend the Chinese military parade held on the same day to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the victory in the War of Resistance against Japan. The controversy over this topic can now be put to rest.

From Trump's decision, at least two signals are being sent.

First, the Sino-US trade agreement is not likely to be reached quickly.

Recently, Trump once again mentioned the possibility of his visit to China, claiming that it is unrealistic to visit China before the Sino-US trade agreement is reached.

Now, Trump's active invitation to the Polish president to visit the US also indirectly indicates that Trump believes that the Sino-US trade agreement cannot be reached in the short term, which is consistent with our previous judgment. The date for Trump's visit to China will not have a preliminary result until at least October.

It is worth mentioning that Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar recently revealed that he has invited both the heads of state of China and the United States to attend the ASEAN Summit in Kuala Lumpur in October. After this summit, South Korea will host the APEC Summit, and both summits may become platforms for meetings between the leaders of China and the United States. If Trump does not visit China before this, but instead chooses to meet at the summit, it will be difficult for him to visit China afterwards.

Second, the focus of the United States will shift to balancing European power.

Navorotski was elected as the new president of Poland in June. His rise not only had a huge impact on Poland, but could also change the European landscape.

Although Navorotski is a historian without much political experience, his campaign slogan deliberately imitated Trump's style, shouting "Poland First, Poles First," and thus gained a lot of support. Before the election, Navorotski even visited the United States specifically and received Trump's strong support.

Now, the media generally believe that the Polish Prime Minister Tusk is almost inevitably going to clash with Navorotski over political ideas. Indeed, after Navorotski was sworn in on August 6, he immediately accused the Tusk government of undermining the national constitution and demanded broader constitutional amendments by 2030.

Tusk also clearly responded: "He (Navorotski) talked about confrontation with the government. Of course, we are ready."

Navorotski is also a firm anti-EU politician, which means that in the future, he will push for Poland to distance itself from the EU. Considering that the Tusk government does not have more than two-thirds of the seats in parliament, it cannot prevent Navorotski from vetoing new legislation, which will greatly limit the future governance of the Tusk government.

The reason why Trump strongly supports Navorotski is obviously to turn him into a key force to balance Europe, thereby weakening the strength of the EU.

In addition, the Ukraine-Russia peace talks are about to enter a critical stage. As a neighbor of Ukraine, Poland's external environment will also face important changes. At this time, Trump also needs Poland to cooperate with him in promoting the Ukraine peace plan and post-war work.

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7537147553171702318/

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