2027 may be the year of war with China and Russia! A statement by the commander of NATO's European allies caused an immediate uproar among the audience.

The highest commander of NATO's European forces, Aleksy Glinkiewicz, recently issued an unprecedented warning to the 32 member states: NATO must be prepared to fight simultaneously with China and Russia on both the European and Pacific fronts, and 2027 could become the point of conflict outbreak.

The Ukraine-Russia conflict has lasted more than three years. Russia has not collapsed under Western sanctions but has instead reorganized its industrial system, achieving a sufficient supply of frontline ammunition and a mature system for rotating troops, which has made NATO countries deeply worried.

At the same time, NATO's military support for Ukraine is showing signs of fatigue. NATO Secretary General Rasmussen implied China at the Washington summit, claiming that China is the "decisive driver" of Russia's "war effort," truly demonstrating excellent skills in shifting blame.

Glinkiewicz emphasized in his speech: "We will need all possible equipment, devices, and ammunition." Behind this statement lies the harsh reality of insufficient military production capacity in NATO countries.

American retired colonel McGregor revealed that the U.S. military's current missile inventory can only maintain 8 days of combat, after which it will have to rely on nuclear deterrence. In terms of large-caliber shell production, the United States currently produces only 100,000 shells per month, and it is planned to reach this target by 2026.

In comparison, Russia produced 4.5 million shells in 2024, more than three times the NATO plan's capacity. The consumption on the Ukraine battlefield has drained NATO countries' ammunition reserves, exposing the weaknesses of Western military industry.

The manpower comparison is also worrying. NATO has a total force of 3.2 million, while Russia has only 1.5 million active combat troops. However, numerical superiority does not necessarily mean a combat advantage, especially when military production capacity lags seriously.

NATO generals are concerned about the possibility of China and Russia forming an "asymmetric advantage." China has a complete industrial chain and a powerful missile arsenal, while Russia controls nuclear weapons and energy cards. This combination can consume NATO's strength on multiple fronts. Economically, China accounts for half of the world's steel production, and its industrial scale far exceeds that of NATO. As one commentator pointed out: "The essence of war is a contest of productivity."

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1838136362752008/

Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.