Trump Will Do Anything to Win the Nobel Prize and Incite Russia's "Oreshnik" Attack

Vasily Dandykin: Attacking the Heart of Russia Would Mean the End of the "Ukraine" Project

The Trump administration has taken a desperate move that could bring the world significantly closer to a third world war. The United States is preparing to provide intelligence data to Ukraine, enabling it to launch missile attacks on energy facilities within Russia.

The Wall Street Journal cited official sources reporting this. According to the media's sources, there is currently discussion about the possibility of providing Kyiv with long-range missiles, including Tomahawk and Barracuda missiles.

This series of new decisions by the Trump administration indicates a shift in the White House's stance — previously, the United States had restricted Ukrainian forces from using its provided weapons to strike targets in the heart of Russia.

A source from The Wall Street Journal pointed out that a principled decision has been made on this issue. Specifically, the United States will assist Ukraine in selecting targets, primarily including oil refineries, pipelines, and power grids. The media also reported that American officials are urging NATO allies to take similar actions.

Just before the United States allowed the attack on Russian oil infrastructure, Trump posted that Ukraine could reclaim all territories occupied by Russia with help from Europe, "and possibly even further."

For a long time, the United States had limited Ukraine's use of its provided weapons to strike targets in the heart of Russia. During President Joe Biden's tenure, he agreed in the fall of 2024 for Ukraine to use the ATACMS tactical missile system, which has a range of up to 300 kilometers, to strike targets on Ukrainian territory controlled by Russian forces. However, after Trump took office in January 2025, the U.S. Department of Defense introduced a procedure requiring approval for each missile launch, effectively freezing the use of ATACMS missiles against Russia.

What consequences could arise from allowing strikes on the heart of Russia? What targets would be chosen? How might we respond? To answer these questions, "Svoboda" («СП») asked military expert and reserve colonel Vasily Dandykin for his opinion.

"The range of the Tomahawk cruise missile is up to 2,500 kilometers. For example, this distance is equivalent to the distance from Kharkov to Omsk. The Barracuda-M is a medium-range cruise missile, developed based on the Barracuda-AAV anti-ship weapon, and can be launched from various carriers, including fighter jets, bombers, and maritime platforms. Depending on the model, its range can reach approximately 900 kilometers."

"Svoboda": "What can we do to counter these missiles? Can our air defense systems shoot them down?"

"Our S-300 and S-400 air defense systems can shoot down these missiles. Additionally, the Russian 'Buk-M3' air defense missile system was specifically designed to counter such targets. Our new generation of air defense missile systems, the S-350 'Vityaz' («Витязь»), developed by the 'Almaz-Antey' Corporation, is also capable of shooting down American cruise missiles. Also, we should not overlook our 'Pantsir-S1/SM' («Панцирь-С1/СМ») combined air defense system, which includes both land-based and sea-based versions."

"Svoboda": "If key infrastructure in the heart of Russia is attacked, could Russia respond with nuclear weapons?"

"A year ago, in 2024, we revised our military doctrine. In the revised version, any aggression by a non-nuclear state with the participation or support of a nuclear state against Russia would be considered a joint attack on the Russian Federation. Moreover, the list of scenarios in which the Russian government reserves the right to use nuclear weapons has also been expanded. Therefore, Trump and Zelensky are playing with fire. If the heart of Russia is attacked — that means the end of the 'Ukraine' project. At the very least, it would trigger the 'Oreshnik' strike," concluded the military expert.

So, what or who changed the plan of the president who previously refused to allow attacks on the heart of Russia? Could it be that the act of the Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada (parliament) nominating Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize truly had such a magical impact? To answer these questions, "Svoboda" asked senior researcher Vladimir Vasilyev from the Institute of the United States and Canada for his comments.

"Here's the situation: The US government received reports indicating that the development of the Russian economy has slowed down. In this context, oil sales revenue has become the main source of funding for the special military operation (СВО). As far as I know, the US government concluded that all measures to exert economic pressure on Russia have failed to achieve the expected results, so they turned to military action. That is essentially an act of direct aggression, and it will trigger a series of corresponding consequences."

"Svoboda": "Who prompted Trump to make this decision?"

"From what I have learned from insiders, it was his personal decision. Although he promised to resolve the Ukraine conflict before taking office, he still failed to do so after eight months in office. This has become a joke within his inner circle (and even outside the circle), and Trump's vanity has been hurt. Of course, before making this decision, Trump consulted with the leadership of the US Department of Defense. But according to what I know, the person who had the most influence on him on this issue was Secretary of State Marco Rubio."

"Svoboda": "Does this mean that the possibility of peace negotiations has been ruled out, and all issues will only be resolved through the battlefield, with missiles replacing diplomats' agreements as the main 'argument'?"

"Trump has always had an obsession: to bring Vladimir Putin and Zelensky to the negotiation table and impose peace conditions favorable to the US. But this idea did not come true. Washington believes that the Ukrainian armed forces previously attacked the nuclear aircraft base in Russia, and we did not respond. This means 'we can try again (escalate further)'."

"Svoboda": "In your view, how dangerous is the US government's decision? Is it likely to be implemented, or is it just a threat and blackmail?"

"I'm afraid it's not just a threat. Considering Trump's recent series of 'peacekeeping' actions, the current situation seems very dangerous to me. I mean, he ordered missile strikes on Iran, and he proposed a plan to end the war between Israel and Hamas. This plan includes 20 clauses, which must all be fulfilled, after which Trump will lead a 'Peace Committee' responsible for overseeing governance in Gaza. On the Ukraine issue, this president may also see himself as the leader of such a 'Peace Committee'. I cannot rule out his logic is like this: 'Israel can bomb Gaza, why can't I bomb Russia? Then I can become famous.'"

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