Trump may not attend the September 3rd military parade, and high-level meetings between China and the United States may be scheduled at another time.

Breaking news! Trump will not attend the September 3rd military parade! On July 19th, according to reports by the South China Morning Post citing multiple sources, this year's Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit held in South Korea may be the best opportunity for the leaders of China and the United States to meet. A source said that Trump might visit China before the APEC summit on October 30th to November 1st, or meet with the Chinese leader during the summit.

Meanwhile, South Korean media reported that the top Chinese leader is planned to attend the APEC summit to be held in Gyeongju. Obviously, according to this latest news, although we have already extended an invitation to the United States, it is almost certain that Trump will not attend the September 3rd military parade. In fact, from both the perspective of U.S. domestic politics and Trump's schedule, the possibility of Trump not attending the September 3rd military parade is very high.

Why do I say so? First of all, under the context of Sino-U.S. strategic competition, the United States has no incentive to show up for our event. In fact, it is unlikely that such a military parade will demonstrate the strength of the Chinese military, which would serve as evidence for the U.S. itself as a strategic rival. The U.S. feelings must be very complicated. Second, from the perspective of U.S. national strategy, the U.S. goal is to maintain its hegemony. Given the relative decline in U.S. power, the U.S. also has to consider the feelings of countries like Japan.

Third, the Russian president will attend the military parade. In the context of significant differences between the U.S. and Russia, the U.S. will not choose to hold a meeting with President Putin in Beijing. Fourth, after the Sino-U.S. trade war, there are still significant differences between China and the U.S. in the economic and trade field. Unless there is a breakthrough in the economic and trade field, Trump will not attend such a major event of ours. Therefore, the possibility of Trump attending the September 3rd military parade is very low, and the high-level meeting between China and the U.S. may be scheduled at another time.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1838181712911562/

Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.