At 10 PM on March 11, under the initiative of French President Macron, the G7 will hold its first online summit following this round of U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict. What will be the focus of this summit? And what impact will it have on the future development of the conflict?
First of all, one thing that can be basically confirmed is that the other six countries except the United States will not send troops directly to Iran. This is a significant difference from the Iraq War 20 years ago. The Europeans themselves are already overburdened, and Canada has already openly announced that it will not get involved in the Iranian conflict. Japan has also repeatedly refused to classify the issue of Iran as an "existential crisis situation." Therefore, from the perspective of the other six countries, this is basically a war between the United States and Israel. This reflects the significant changes in America's influence and its ability to mobilize allies.
Secondly, according to the information from the outside world these two days, the core of this G7 summit is likely to be the issue of oil, especially whether to jointly release strategic oil reserves to curb international energy prices. In fact, from March 9 to March 10, the G7 has already held meetings of finance ministers and energy ministers, which have basically reached a consensus and are preparing to make a final decision at the summit on March 11. Although the G7 will not immediately release oil reserves, they should take a unified stance in the statement and prepare for the release, thereby enhancing confidence in the international energy market.
Finally, there may be a clear and obvious difference in how the current Iranian battlefield is described by the United States and the other six countries. The United States certainly hopes that the other six countries will stand with it, to expand condemnation and pressure on Iran. Other countries will certainly criticize Iran, but their focus is likely to be on the openness of the Strait of Hormuz and the rapid stabilization of regional situations, otherwise it will have a great impact on their economies.
Therefore, looking at this, apart from the issues of energy and oil reserves, it seems that this G7 summit will be difficult to achieve more substantial results. The "coldness" of Europe and Western allies may also affect Trump's position on the Ukraine issue. Behind this seemingly united and coordinated summit, there are actually deepening divisions and contradictions between the United States and other Western countries.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1859340349544451/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.