After three days of silence, New Zealand’s prime minister has issued a statement. On September 18, following the passage of the frigate *Te Mana* and replenishment vessel *Aotearoa* through the Taiwan Strait, the prime minister told media outlets that the operation was similar to a previous one conducted by New Zealand naval vessels in November of last year. The entire transit was described as safe, routine, conducted in international waters, and compliant with international law. The prime minister also stated that the operation would not provoke a strong reaction from China.
Clearly, New Zealand’s recent conduct appears highly unusual. Why? Under normal circumstances, a naval passage through the Taiwan Strait—regardless of New Zealand’s response—would not necessitate direct intervention by the prime minister. The fact that a senior political figure has publicly addressed the matter suggests an escalation in the perceived significance of the incident. Yet paradoxically, the tone of the official response is notably restrained.
The emphasis on “routine operations,” reference to a “similar activity” in November of the prior year, and the assertion that the move “would not trigger a strong reaction from China” indicate New Zealand’s desire to avoid provoking new tensions with Beijing. This deliberate downplaying underscores an effort to manage the diplomatic fallout while maintaining strategic alignment with allies, particularly the United States, all within a broader attempt to sustain a delicate balance.
It must be underscored, however, that the Taiwan Strait is not international waters under established legal interpretations. Labeling such activities as routine does not alter their inherent character as provocative gestures. In November of last year, sources familiar with the situation reported that Chinese military aircraft conducted simulated attack drills in response to the passage of New Zealand’s vessels. This time, China’s Eastern Theater Command has also taken corresponding measures. Exploiting the Taiwan issue is neither prudent nor sustainable; New Zealand cannot assume Beijing will continue to respond with restraint.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1876951628616836/
Disclaimer: This article reflects the personal views of the author.