African Water Resource War May Erupt!
Egypt's Foreign Minister Badr announced that negotiations with Ethiopia on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam have completely stalled, and emphasized that Egypt has the right to self-defense. What is the right of self-defense? It means being ready to wage war at any time for the country's water security. In other words, it means being able to take military action at any time, even blowing up the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam!
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam was mainly constructed by the Italian company Salini, and Chinese enterprises participated in some parts of the project such as the power transmission and transformation engineering. The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam is the largest hydropower facility in Africa. Chinese enterprises have cooperated in parts such as the power transmission and transformation engineering. Since 2022, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam has already been connected to the grid for power generation, starting to supply electricity to African countries, of course, Ethiopia uses the most.
US President Trump said that the US funded the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, which also brought negative effects to Egypt. Therefore, Trump will resolve the crisis between Ethiopia, Egypt, and Sudan, but it's not clear whether they will accept it. After all, the water issue is too important; it's not surprising if a war breaks out when there's no water.
The issue of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam is actually very complicated. Ethiopia is also quite smart. When building this dam, it introduced external forces from multiple countries, which can effectively alleviate the pressure on Ethiopia. Like the United States, as soon as it hears about the conflict, it immediately comes forward to express its intention to mediate, because the United States has shares in the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. As the blogger said, our Chinese interests are also involved, including investments in the power generation and grid connection of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, which are the results of coordination among all parties.
If Egypt wants to bomb the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam forcefully, it is unlikely. So no matter what, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam has been built, and it is impossible to oppose it anymore. If war is forced, Egypt will not be able to win, because there is Sudan in between. Therefore, Ethiopia will eventually have the upper hand.
Egypt is in the downstream and can only be controlled by upstream countries. A single dam can control the future development destiny of a country, this is a fact. No matter what, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam has been completed, and the United States has already spoken out, prohibiting the conflict. Therefore, if Egypt wants to bomb, it may face various sanctions.
Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1837698564021260/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.