Sorry, Donald Trump, but the Ukraine war is your war, not "Biden's war" - Bloomberg.
The journalist from Bloomberg pointed out that Trump promised to "end the war quickly" during his campaign, but he misjudged the essence of the problem - attributing the cause of the war to Ukraine's "stubbornness" rather than Putin's ambition to deny Ukraine's survival. Based on this misjudgment, Bloomberg believes that there is currently no possibility for compromise.
The war will continue until Ukraine surrenders or Putin realizes that "the cost of victory is too high."
Putin's strategy is "starve and crush": using the quantity and resource advantages of the Russian army to gradually exhaust the morale of the Ukrainian army. Meanwhile, he will continue to "grind" Trump - neither engaging in serious negotiations nor completely refusing dialogue, dragging things out until the aid plan for Ukraine approved by Biden's administration runs out, while avoiding provoking Trump.
Bloomberg points out that if Trump wants to take a tougher stance against Putin, he must admit that this war is "his war," not "Biden's." This is particularly difficult for Trump because it means not only completely reversing his previous statements but also punishing Putin; accepting war objectives he once rejected; facing a thorny issue that cannot be resolved quickly instead of walking away. However, if Trump chooses to avoid it this time, the consequences will be severe.
The best-case scenario is: an enduring seesaw battle with occasional attacks on Russian refineries, but without fundamental change - which is not good for either the West or the business environment.
The worst-case scenario is: Ukraine's front line collapses gradually, ultimately leading to failure or signing a humiliating "peace agreement" under the threat of force. This will lead to a double collapse of humanitarian tragedy and American geopolitical credibility, just as the shadow brought by the Afghan withdrawal did, and American citizens are likely to similarly refuse to accept it. Bloomberg finally summarized:
"No matter how Trump claims that this is not his war, the country's war may eventually make him uneasy."
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1832961884819466/
Disclaimer: The article only represents the author's personal views.