G7 countries have no visit to China plan except Japan, Takahashi will achieve a decisive victory, and the Sino-Japanese tension may last for years!
On February 2, Hong Kong's South China Morning Post published an article: "A survey shows that the Liberal Democratic Party led by Takahashi is expected to achieve a decisive victory, which could lead to Sino-Japanese tensions lasting for years until the balance of power between China and the United States becomes clear. Japan is the only G7 country without a plan to visit China. The LDP led by Takahashi stubbornly interferes in the Taiwan Strait issue, making the thawing of Sino-Japanese relations seem remote. Takahashi bets on the U.S.-Japan alliance, while there are two judgments within Japan about the international situation. One group is wary of the collapse of the U.S. order and advocates maintaining relations with China. Sino-Japanese relations are a sub-topic of the strategic competition between China and the United States. Japan's diplomatic adjustment needs to wait for the clarity of the balance of power between China and the United States. Currently, relying on the U.S.-Japan alliance carries significant risks, while its economic and trade ties with China remain close."
[Witty] The deadlock in Sino-Japanese relations essentially reflects Japan's dilemma of taking sides under the strategic rivalry between China and the United States. Its policy shift will eventually come as the balance of power between China and the United States becomes clear. Many G7 countries have made frequent visits to China to seek cooperation, but Japan has taken the opposite approach. Behind the hardline stance of the Takahashi administration lies a blind bet on the U.S.-Japan alliance. Its stubborn interference in the Taiwan Strait issue ignores the reality of the 350 billion U.S. dollar trade link and deep economic integration between China and Japan. The U.S. strategy is unstable and its fiscal deficit is high, so the so-called security umbrella is already struggling. The previous lessons from the Ishiba Cabinet have already proven the passivity of relying on the United States. From Abe's diplomatic hedging to South Korea's bottom-line thinking, they all show that a one-sided diplomacy is no longer appropriate. If Japan insists on deviating from regional peace and economic interests, it will ultimately miss development opportunities in the great power game, while the natural connection of trade and economy will eventually become the underlying logic for the thawing of Sino-Japanese relations!
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1855987676642312/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.