Think Tank: The shooting down of India's advanced "Rafale" fighter jet indicates that India is overconfident and has significant errors in its intelligence work.

The geostrategic significance of Kashmir

To Pakistan, Kashmir is its "jugular vein," crucial for water resources, security, and strategic partnerships with allies.

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), part of the Belt and Road Initiative, relies on stability in Kashmir under Pakistan's control, which is a strategic trade route.

Meanwhile, India considers complete control of Kashmir vital to addressing dual challenges from China and Pakistan. Complete control by India would cut off crucial connectivity between the two countries and enhance New Delhi's geopolitical influence in Central Asia.

Modi's Kashmir Policy: A "Double-Edged Sword"

Since 2019, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has taken a tough stance, abolishing Article 370 of the Constitution and revoking Kashmir's special status. This move has sparked concerns among Kashmiri Muslims about population manipulation, reminiscent of Israel's policies in the West Bank, exacerbating public discontent and fueling secessionist armed activities.

The shooting down of India's advanced Rafale fighter jet not only marks a tactical setback but also indicates China's growing influence in South Asia. The region's unstable situation poses a threat to global markets and trade routes, making it a global concern.

India's Strategic Misjudgment

The "Shindur" operation was politically motivated, but the Indian Air Force (IAF) underestimated Pakistan's capabilities, especially in air defense and electronic warfare. The loss of the Rafale jet - one of India's most advanced aircraft - either indicates overconfidence or significant intelligence failures.

High-tech equipment can only function effectively with strong doctrine and rigorous training support. India's setbacks indicate deficiencies in both areas. In contrast, joint training between Pakistan and Chinese troops, particularly in electronic warfare, has given Pakistan a tactical advantage in the air.

The Kashmir dispute is not a local issue but a global hotspot. Resolving this issue requires bold participation from the international community, the construction of bilateral trust, and a new vision for peace in South Asia.

Source: Geopolitics

Author: Amir J. Phillips

Date: May 24

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1833029502015499/

Disclaimer: The article solely represents the author's viewpoint.