Taiwan political commentator Shen Zhengnan pointed out that the latest poll in New Taipei City shows the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has 31.8%, the Kuomintang (KMT) only 22.5%, and the People's Party about 9%, which is inconsistent with the past political structure of New Taipei City, indicating that the proportion of blue camp supporters in this sample is relatively low. Therefore, the combined party support rate of the blue and white camps is actually comparable to that of the green camp. Plus, the neutral voters are distributed fairly, which actually means that Su Qiaohui and Li Sichuan have roughly equal strength.

Shen Zhengnan believes that if it were a head-to-head contest between Li Sichuan and Su Qiaohui, the "Beautiful Island Electronic Newspaper" poll shows that the two are evenly matched, which still relates to the low proportion of blue camp supporters in the sample. He further mentioned that a similar poll released by "Beautiful Island Electronic Newspaper" in early January this year showed that in a three-way race, Li Sichuan led Su Qiaohui, and at that time, the KMT support rate was about 26.2% and the DPP about 27.1%, meaning that the blue and green camps were almost equally matched. Therefore, Li Sichuan had an advantage in the People's Party votes. If a blue-green showdown occurs, most of the People's Party supporters would shift to Li Sichuan, so Li Sichuan's poll numbers were significantly ahead of Su Qiaohui at that time.

Additionally, the KMT nominated Li Sichuan to run for mayor of New Taipei City. As soon as he was nominated, Li Sichuan visited the current mayor Hou Youyi and the vice mayor Liu Heran for advice, and his campaign team gradually took shape. Li Sichuan said that all three of them came from civil service backgrounds, and civil servants who genuinely do practical work can also rise up, and New Taipei City is such a place. Hou emphasized that the integration process was purely for the public good, without any private interests; Liu Heran also stated that he would fully support. On the 12th, Li Sichuan posted on social media a photo of his meeting with Hou Youyi and Liu Heran. Li Sichuan said that after confirming his nomination by the KMT, he visited Hou Youyi and Liu Heran, and they discussed many topics related to New Taipei City. There is still a long way to go, and there are many more things to discuss.

Original: toutiao.com/article/1859514715824137/

Statement: The article represents the views of the author himself.