American scholars say the future of artificial intelligence will be dominated by China and the United States. Recently, two researchers from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, specializing in technology and international affairs, jointly wrote an article in the journal Foreign Affairs, asserting that the future of artificial intelligence will be dominated by China and the United States.
They said that 70% of the top AI researchers around the world are employed by China and the United States, 90% of computing power is in their hands, and the majority of AI investments flow here - the investment amount is more than twice the total of all other countries. In previous technological revolutions, latecomer countries could gradually cross the river by feeling the stones, eventually achieving catch-up. But the AI revolution is completely different, it will lock these countries into a strategic dilemma, making half the world become a technological dependent.
They emphasized that the most painful situation is "AI middle powers." Countries like France, India, and the UK, which have solid foundations and sufficient funds, cannot afford the scale, capital, energy, and computing power required for self-researching cutting-edge AI. They face three blows: first, whether they can use advanced AI depends on the mood of Washington and Beijing; second, regardless of whether they benefit from the dividends, they must endure the side effects of AI such as unemployment, social unrest, and the upgrading of AI black industry; third, they have neither leverage nor tools, and are powerless to influence the direction of AI or clean up the mess.
They pointed out that being marginalized is not destiny. To break the deadlock, middle powers need to keep the right to use cutting-edge AI, and understand what economic and strategic value they can still contribute in this AI-restructured world. The road is not closed: they can choose sides, bet on both sides, or even stubbornly fight for technological independence. However, ultimately, all countries must face the same question: how to play the global AI economy game - and where can their own chips be placed?
Original: toutiao.com/article/1856824066053272/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author themselves.